Shrewsbury vs Oldham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New Meadow
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.52
Draw
3.22
Away Win
2.82
Match Prediction
Data favours
Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Shrewsbury a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham have secured two away victories from their last five outings, while Shrewsbury have also recorded two wins at home during their latest five matches. Shrewsbury have found the net in four of their last five home games but have only managed two clean sheets in that same period. Shrewsbury rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Shrewsbury won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Oldham's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Shrewsbury's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Oldham's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Shrewsbury a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Oldham losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Oldham
Oldham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Oldham win as less likely than it did 11 days ago. Shrewsbury remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.9% → 36.7%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.1% → 29.0%
+0.9 pts
Oldham win
Latest market chance 34.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
37.0% → 34.4%
−2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Shrewsbury
Draw
Oldham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyOldham
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
18th
14
Games Played
14
1.29
Points/Game
1.07
1.21
Goals/Game
1.07
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.36
13.8
Shots/Game
14.3
4.4
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (7 matches) vs Oldham away (8 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.00
1.14
Goals/Game
0.62
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.38
43%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Shrewsbury
Home form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oldham
Away form
L
W
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
4
Draws
1
Oldham Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Shrewsbury1 – 0Oldham
Oldham2 – 2Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 0Oldham
Oldham1 – 2Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 0Oldham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsburyvs
Oldham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.7%→Latest 48.5%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.9%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?