Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New Meadow
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.39
Away Win
4.14
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Shrewsbury
Gillingham
3'
⚽ Harry Waldock (Conor McManus)
22'
🟨 Ethan·Coleman
Gavin Cowan 🟨
38'
William Boyle 🟨
52'
57'
🟨 Logan Dobbs
George Lloyd ⚽ (P)
59'
80'
⚽ Andy Smith
Luca Hoole 🟨
82'
87'
🟨 Armani Little
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
6
7
Corner Kicks
2
6
Fouls
18
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
L. Hoole
T. Sang
will gray
K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd
J. Davison
Gillingham (3-4-3)
O. Wright
A. Smith
O. Beckles
L. Dobbs
N. Freeman
J. Brophy
E. Coleman
Conor McManus
H. Waldock
Ronan Hale
L. Sillah
Player Ratings ?
Shrewsbury
T. SangM7.2
William Michael BrookG6.6
G. LloydF6.6
Gillingham
H. WaldockF7.9
Conor McManusM7.2
O. WrightG6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Shrewsbury edge recent form, attack and defence, Gillingham edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Shrewsbury slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Gillingham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Gillingham have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Shrewsbury boast three victories in their corresponding home sample. Shrewsbury have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same span. Shrewsbury rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Gillingham rate stronger on head-to-head. Gillingham won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 2 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 48.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
47.9% → 48.1%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.6% → 27.6%
±0.0 pts
Gillingham win
Latest market chance 24.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.5% → 24.3%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Shrewsbury
Draw
Gillingham
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyGillingham
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
13th
13
Games Played
13
1.38
Points/Game
1.31
1.23
Goals/Game
1.38
1.54
Conceded/Game
1.38
13.8
Shots/Game
9.8
4.4
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (7 matches) vs Gillingham away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.57
1.14
Goals/Game
1.71
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.43
43%
Win Rate
43%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Shrewsbury
Home form
W
W
D
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gillingham
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
1
Draws
3
Gillingham Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Gillingham1 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury3 – 3Gillingham
Gillingham0 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury2 – 1Gillingham
Gillingham0 – 0Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsburyvs
Gillingham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.4%→Latest 46.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?