Shrewsbury vs Exeter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New Meadow
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.10
Draw
3.31
Away Win
3.61
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Shrewsbury
Exeter
Tom Sang 🟨
11'
43'
🟨 Jake Doyle Hayes
Luca Hoole 🟨
65'
will gray 🟨
76'
77'
🟨 Taylor Perry
86'
⚽ Sonny Cox (George Birch)
J. Turner-Cook 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
3
17
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
L. Hoole
T. Sang
J. Turner-Cooke
K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd
Isaac Andrew Fletcher
Exeter (4-2-3-1)
J. Bycroft
L. Samuel
J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins
A. Scully
T. Perry
George Birch
J. Gordon
Player Ratings ?
Shrewsbury
J. DavisonF6.5
Isaac Andrew FletcherF6.5
S. StubbsD6.4
Exeter
S. CoxF7.7
J. TaylorD7.0
George BirchM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Shrewsbury edge recent form and attack, Exeter edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Exeter have struggled on the road with just a solitary draw from their last five away fixtures, whereas Shrewsbury look more settled at home having recorded two victories in that same run of five matches. Shrewsbury have found the net in every one of their last five home outings but have managed to keep a clean sheet in only two of those same five matches. Shrewsbury rate stronger on form and attack, while Exeter rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Exeter won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 8 March 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Shrewsbury's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points, while Exeter's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Exeter
Exeter's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Exeter win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Shrewsbury remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 43.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
41.2% → 43.4%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.7%
+0.5 pts
Exeter win
Latest market chance 27.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
30.6% → 27.9%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Shrewsbury
Draw
Exeter
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyExeter
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
20th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.56
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.67
13.8
Shots/Game
11.1
4.4
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (7 matches) vs Exeter away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.57
1.14
Goals/Game
0.43
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.00
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Shrewsbury
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Exeter
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
0
Draws
2
Exeter Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Exeter2 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury0 – 2Exeter
Shrewsbury0 – 3Exeter
Exeter0 – 0Shrewsbury
Exeter0 – 0Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsburyvs
Exeter
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.0%→Latest 43.6%−1.4 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 50.0%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Shrewsbury's 10 matches and 1 of Exeter's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?