Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rvs Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
New Meadow
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.22
Draw
3.16
Away Win
2.38
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rvs
10'
🟨 Shaqai Forde
Josh Ruffels 🟨
16'
34'
🟨 Steve Evans
George Lloyd 🟨
43'
64'
🟨 Keenan Gough
George Lloyd ⚽ (P)
77'
J. Turner-Cook 🟥
80'
88'
🟨 Ben Purrington
Isaac Fletcher 🟥
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
L. Hoole
T. Sang
J. Turner-Cooke
K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd
J. Davison
Bristol Rvs (4-2-3-1)
Brad Young
T. James
K. Balmer
C. Kelly
B. Purrington
R. Smallwood
C. Mola
S. Forde
Keenan Gough
B. Kamwa
F. Cavegn
Player Ratings ?
Shrewsbury
K. M. BrownM7.0
G. LloydF6.7
S. StubbsD6.7
Bristol Rvs
A. AppiahF6.7
F. CavegnF6.6
J. SparkesD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Shrewsbury edge defence, Bristol Rvs edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bristol Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bristol Rovers have struggled on the road with just a solitary win from their last five away outings, while Shrewsbury Town have secured two victories and one draw in that same span at home. At the ground, Shrewsbury have found the net in four of their last five matches but have only managed two clean sheets during that identical period. Bristol Rvs rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Shrewsbury rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. Bristol Rvs won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Shrewsbury's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Bristol Rvs unbeaten run
3
Bristol Rvs points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.5% → 30.3%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.5% → 28.6%
+0.1 pts
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 41.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.9% → 41.1%
+0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Shrewsbury
Draw
Bristol Rvs
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rvs
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
9th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.50
0.90
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.70
13.8
Shots/Game
15.1
4.4
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Shrewsbury at home (7 matches) vs Bristol Rvs away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.43
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.14
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Shrewsbury
Home form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Bristol Rvs
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Shrewsbury Wins
0
Draws
2
Bristol Rvs Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.0
2026-03-172025-2026
Bristol Rvs1 – 0Shrewsbury
2026-01-012025-2026
Shrewsbury0 – 3Bristol Rvs
2025-03-042024-2025
Shrewsbury0 – 0Bristol Rvs
2024-10-222024-2025
Bristol Rvs1 – 0Shrewsbury
2024-04-012023-2024
Bristol Rvs0 – 0Shrewsbury
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Shrewsbury
vs
Bristol Rvs
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
70.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
46.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
25.2%
BTTSBoth teams score
51.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 45.8%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.8%→Latest 51.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…