Salford vs Exeter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Moor Lane
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.02
Away Win
5.15
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Salford
Exeter
Will Norris 🟨
24'
34'
⚽ Sonny Cox (Anthony Scully)
Elliot Bonds 🟨
44'
Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu 🟨
45+3'
49'
🟨 L. Woodhouse
Luke Garbutt ⚽
66'
Will Aimson (Abraham Odoh) ⚽
88'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Salford (5-4-1)
W. Norris
A. Odoh
A. Oluwo
D. Scarr
W. Aimson
L. Garbutt
B. Woodburn
E. Bonds
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
L. Molyneux
M. Langstaff
Exeter (4-2-3-1)
J. Bycroft
L. Samuel
J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
H. Kite
C. Cummins
George Birch
T. Perry
A. Scully
S. Cox
Player Ratings ?
Salford
W. AimsonD7.4
L. GarbuttD6.9
D. ScarrD6.8
Exeter
S. CoxF7.3
A. ScullyM7.0
R. ColeM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Salford edge recent form and attack, Exeter edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Salford have secured five straight victories at home in their last five outings, while Exeter have recorded just a solitary win and a draw from five away matches during the same period. At home, Salford have found the net in all five of their recent matches but have also kept three clean sheets within that identical span. Salford rate stronger on form and attack, while Exeter rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 12 March 2022, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Salford's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Exeter's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Salford points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Salford
Salford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 57.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
56.5% → 57.8%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.2% → 23.4%
−0.8 pts
Exeter win
Latest market chance 18.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.3% → 18.8%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Salford
Draw
Exeter
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordExeter
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
8th
13
Games Played
13
2.15
Points/Game
1.46
1.77
Goals/Game
0.77
1.08
Conceded/Game
0.54
14.8
Shots/Game
11.1
4.4
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (7 matches) vs Exeter away (7 matches)
2.57
Points/Game
0.57
1.29
Goals/Game
0.43
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.00
86%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Exeter
Away form
L
L
L
W
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
0
Draws
2
Exeter Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.8
Exeter0 – 0Salford
Salford1 – 2Exeter
Exeter1 – 0Salford
Salford2 – 2Exeter
Salford0 – 1Exeter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Exeter
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded / game
0.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
0/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 53.9%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 53.2%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?