Salford vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Moor Lane
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.35
Draw
5.43
Away Win
7.63
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Salford
Crawley Town
Macaulay Langstaff (Kallum Cesay) ⚽
17'
Macaulay Langstaff (Kallum Cesay) ⚽
50'
59'
⚽ Dylan Morgan
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
8
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
6
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Salford (5-3-2)
W. Norris
L. Molyneux
W. Aimson
D. Scarr
T. Allen
A. Odoh
M. Butcher
E. Bonds
J. Grant
K. Cesay
M. Langstaff
Crawley Town (3-5-2)
V. Mannone
P. Farquharson
C. Barker
L. Richards
A. Adeyemo
Nathan Tinsdale
J. Arthurs
Kai Jennings
S. Duke-McKenna
Dylan Morgan
G. Di Biase
Player Ratings ?
Salford
M. LangstaffF8.1
K. CesayF7.9
T. AllenD7.2
Crawley Town
Dylan MorganNone7.1
Pele Arganese-McDermottD6.6
A. AdeyemoM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Salford
Salford rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Salford an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Salford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Salford have enjoyed a strong run at home with four wins in their last five outings, while Crawley Town have found it harder to find consistency away from home with just one win and two draws in that same span. Salford have scored in four of their last five home matches and kept three clean sheets during that period, showing a mix of offensive output and defensive solidity at this venue. Salford rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Salford's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points, while Crawley Town's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Salford.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Salford points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Salford
Salford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Salford win
Latest market chance 69.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
65.7% → 69.1%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 18.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
19.2% → 18.0%
−1.2 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 13.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
15.0% → 13.0%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Salford
Draw
Crawley Town
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SalfordCrawley Town
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
24th
10
Games Played
8
1.90
Points/Game
0.63
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.88
14.8
Shots/Game
13.4
4.4
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Salford at home (7 matches) vs Crawley Town away (6 matches)
2.57
Points/Game
1.17
1.29
Goals/Game
1.17
0.57
Conceded/Game
1.50
86%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Salford
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crawley Town
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Salford Wins
2
Draws
2
Crawley Town Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Crawley Town0 – 0Salford
Salford4 – 3Crawley Town
Crawley Town0 – 1Salford
Salford1 – 1Crawley Town
Crawley Town3 – 2Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Salfordvs
Crawley Town
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.6%→Latest 65.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 56.6%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Crawley Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?