Rotherham vs Shrewsbury Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New York Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.42
Draw
3.35
Away Win
2.94
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Rotherham
Shrewsbury
Paul Mullin (Julian Eyestone) ⚽
15'
Paul Mullin (Aaron Nemane) ⚽
18'
kian spence 🟥
21'
24'
⚽ Josh Davison
A. Bruce 🟨
31'
59'
⚽ Josh Ruffels (Arkelle Jude-Boyd)
67'
⚽ William Boyle (Josh Davison)
Tom Bradshaw (Jayce Fitzgerald) ⚽
76'
83'
🟥 Kian McMahon-Brown
Denzel Hall 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
34%
Ball Possession
66%
10
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
8
13
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Rotherham (4-3-3)
J. Eyestone
J. Rafferty
D. Iorfa
K. Ngwenya
D. Hall
K. Spence
Jayce Fitzgerald
J. Austerfield
A. Nemane
P. Mullin
J. Buyabu
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
T. Sang
will gray
K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd
J. Davison
Player Ratings ?
Rotherham
P. MullinF8.8
T. BradshawF8.0
A. NemaneF7.5
Shrewsbury
J. DavisonF9.0
W. BoyleD7.5
J. RuffelsD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Shrewsbury a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Shrewsbury have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Rotherham have secured just one victory alongside three draws in that same home sample. Rotherham have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical sequence. Shrewsbury rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Shrewsbury won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 8 February 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Rotherham's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Shrewsbury a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rotherham win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
39.6% → 39.5%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.8% → 28.9%
+0.1 pts
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 31.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.7% → 31.6%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rotherham
Draw
Shrewsbury
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RotherhamShrewsbury
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
8th
12
Games Played
12
0.92
Points/Game
1.42
1.17
Goals/Game
1.08
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.42
11.2
Shots/Game
13.8
3.6
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Rotherham at home (7 matches) vs Shrewsbury away (7 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
1.14
1.86
Goals/Game
1.29
2.14
Conceded/Game
2.00
14%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rotherham
Home form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Shrewsbury
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rotherham Wins
1
Draws
2
Shrewsbury Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Rotherham1 – 2Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 1Rotherham
Rotherham0 – 3Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury0 – 0Rotherham
Shrewsbury1 – 2Rotherham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rotherhamvs
Shrewsbury
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.5%→Latest 45.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 51.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?