Rotherham vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
New York Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.20
Draw
3.30
Away Win
3.00
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Crawley Town edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Crawley Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crawley Town stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Crawley Town have secured just one win and a single draw across their last five away outings, while Rotherham have drawn four of their last five home fixtures after suffering only one defeat in that same period. At home, Rotherham have found the net in every single match of their last five appearances but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Crawley Town rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. Crawley Town won the most recent meeting 4-0 on 29 March 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Rotherham's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Rotherham's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Crawley Town's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Rotherham
Rotherham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Rotherham win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rotherham win
Latest market chance 45.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
47.0% → 45.4%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.2%
+0.2 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.9% → 28.4%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rotherham
Draw
Crawley Town
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RotherhamCrawley Town

Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
24th
14
Games Played
12
0.86
Points/Game
0.75
1.29
Goals/Game
1.08
1.79
Conceded/Game
1.75
11.2
Shots/Game
13.4
3.6
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Rotherham at home (7 matches) vs Crawley Town away (6 matches)
1.14
Points/Game
1.17
1.86
Goals/Game
1.17
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.50
14%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Rotherham
Home form
D
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Crawley Town
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rotherham Wins
1
Draws
1
Crawley Town Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
Rotherham0 – 4Crawley Town
Crawley Town1 – 0Rotherham
Rotherham2 – 2Crawley Town
Crawley Town1 – 2Rotherham
Crawley Town3 – 0Rotherham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rotherhamvs
Crawley Town

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 57.1%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?