Rochdale vs York Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Spotland
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.96
Draw
4.04
Away Win
1.77
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. York edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
York stronger
HomeAway
Attack
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
York stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
York have struggled on their travels with no wins from their last five away fixtures, while Rochdale have secured two victories in that same period at home. Rochdale have scored in four of their last five home matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that run. York rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Rochdale's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points, while York's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
1
York points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards York
York's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a York win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 22.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.0% → 22.7%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.2% → 23.7%
−0.5 pts
York win
Latest market chance 53.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
50.8% → 53.6%
+2.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rochdale
Draw
York
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RochdaleYork
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
7th
14
Games Played
14
1.07
Points/Game
1.43
1.21
Goals/Game
1.71
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.50
9.6
Shots/Game
14.6
3.1
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Rochdale at home (7 matches) vs York away (8 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.38
1.43
Goals/Game
1.12
1.86
Conceded/Game
2.38
43%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rochdale
Home form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rochdale Wins
0
Draws
2
York Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Rochdale1 – 1York
York4 – 1Rochdale
Rochdale0 – 4York
York1 – 0Rochdale
Rochdale0 – 0York
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rochdalevs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 58.6%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 58.1%−2.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?