Rochdale vs Accrington Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Spotland
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.57
Draw
3.49
Away Win
2.65
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 5
Match Events ?
Rochdale
Accrington
14'
⚽ Josh Woods
23'
🟨 David Tutonda
33'
🟨 Donald Love
38'
⚽ Charlie Warren (Tyler Walton)
45+1'
⚽ Tyler Walton (David Tutonda)
50'
🟨 Alex Henderson
51'
⚽ Tyler Walton
58'
🟨 Charlie Warren
66'
⚽ Alex Henderson (Charlie Warren)
sam beckwith 🟨
87'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
5
Total Shots
26
1
Shots on Goal
10
3
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Rochdale (4-2-3-1)
Sam William John Waller
S. Sherring
A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson
C. Tasker
H. Gilmour
E. Francis
C. Hayes
B. Adeeko
G. Middleton
D. Brown
Accrington (3-4-1-2)
L. Moulden
D. Love
D. Matthews
J. Anderson
C. O'Brien
Stefan Mols
Aidan Borland
D. Tutonda
J. Woods
T. Walton
C. Warren
Player Ratings ?
Rochdale
D. BrownF6.4
I. HendersonF6.4
J. PatersonF6.3
Accrington
T. WaltonF9.8
C. WarrenF8.3
J. WoodsM8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rochdale edge head-to-head, Accrington edge defence, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Accrington slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rochdale have secured three victories in their last five outings at home, whereas Accrington have managed only a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. Rochdale have found the net in five of their last five home matches while also keeping three clean sheets during that identical period. Accrington hold a slight advantage in defence, while Rochdale rate stronger on head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Rochdale losing run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Accrington points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 37.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.6% → 37.3%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.8% → 27.9%
+0.1 pts
Accrington win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.6% → 34.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rochdale
Draw
Accrington
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RochdaleAccrington
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
11th
12
Games Played
12
1.25
Points/Game
1.25
1.25
Goals/Game
1.42
1.42
Conceded/Game
1.33
9.6
Shots/Game
15.4
3.1
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Rochdale at home (7 matches) vs Accrington away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.86
1.43
Goals/Game
1.43
1.86
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rochdale
Home form
W
L
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Accrington
Away form
L
L
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rochdale Wins
4
Draws
0
Accrington Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Rochdale3 – 1Accrington
Accrington2 – 1Rochdale
Accrington1 – 2Rochdale
Rochdale2 – 1Accrington
Accrington0 – 1Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rochdalevs
Accrington
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 49.1%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?