Port Vale vs Rochdale Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Vale Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
3.89
Away Win
5.59
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 2
Match Events ?
Port Vale
Rochdale
Onel Hernández (Kyle Dempsey) ⚽
2'
George Byers ⚽ (P)
11'
15'
🟨 Harvey Gilmour
Jordan Gabriel ⚽
22'
33'
🟨 Glenn Middleton
38'
🟨 Cian Hayes
Cameron Humphreys 🟨
48'
George Byers 🟨
62'
82'
⚽ Ian Henderson (Luke Hannant)
Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales (George Cardinal Joseph·Hall) ⚽
86'
90+4'
⚽ Charlie Tasker
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Port Vale (3-5-2)
M. Maroši
C. Humphreys
J. Moon
C. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
K. Dempsey
G. Byers
G. Hall
J. Headley
M. Watters
O. Hernández
Rochdale (4-2-3-1)
Sam William John Waller
S. Sherring
A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson
C. Tasker
B. Adeeko
H. Gilmour
C. Hayes
Z. Silcott-Duberry
G. Middleton
D. Brown
Player Ratings ?
Port Vale
O. HernándezF7.8
K. DempseyM7.4
K. FigueroaF7.3
Rochdale
I. HendersonF7.2
L. HannantM7.1
C. TaskerD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Port Vale edge defence, Rochdale edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rochdale slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rochdale slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Port Vale stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rochdale stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Port Vale have secured three wins from their last five home outings without a single defeat, while Rochdale have managed just one victory in five away fixtures during this period. The hosts have registered goals in four of their last five home matches and kept four clean sheets across the same recent sample. Rochdale rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while Port Vale rate stronger on defence. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2022, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Port Vale's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while Rochdale's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Port Vale
Port Vale's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Port Vale win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Port Vale win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
54.8% → 57.4%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.3% → 24.2%
−1.1 pts
Rochdale win
Latest market chance 18.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.9% → 18.3%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Port Vale
Draw
Rochdale
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Port ValeRochdale
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
17th
11
Games Played
13
1.09
Points/Game
1.15
0.55
Goals/Game
1.15
1.09
Conceded/Game
1.69
11.2
Shots/Game
9.6
3.7
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Port Vale at home (6 matches) vs Rochdale away (7 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.71
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.86
67%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Port Vale
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Rochdale
Away form
L
D
W
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Port Vale Wins
2
Draws
1
Rochdale Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Rochdale1 – 1Port Vale
Port Vale2 – 3Rochdale
Rochdale3 – 0Port Vale
Port Vale1 – 0Rochdale
Port Vale4 – 1Rochdale
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Port Valevs
Rochdale
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.60
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 49.0%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?