Oldham vs Crawley Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Boundary Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.73
Draw
4.11
Away Win
4.29
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Oldham
Crawley Town
Kai Payne 🟥
14'
25'
🟨 Kai Jennings
Kane drummond 🟥
30'
52'
⚽ Danilo Orsi
Thomas Hill 🟨
60'
Donervorn Daniels 🟨
63'
72'
🟨 Jonathan Russell
85'
🟨 Kellan Gordon
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
16
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Goal
6
2
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Oldham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hudson
W. Sutton
D. Daniels
E. Monthe
J. Robson
O. Norburn
Kai Payne
K. Drummond
C. Kavanagh
F. Fawunmi
M. Fondop-Talum
Crawley Town (4-1-4-1)
V. Mannone
K. Gordon
P. Farquharson
C. Barker
L. Richards
S. Duke-McKenna
Dylan Morgan
J. Arthurs
Kai Jennings
J. Russell
D. Orsi
Player Ratings ?
Oldham
M. HudsonG6.9
E. MontheD6.8
O. NorburnM6.6
Crawley Town
D. OrsiF8.2
P. FarquharsonD7.3
V. MannoneG7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Oldham
Oldham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Oldham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oldham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oldham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oldham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham have won two of their last five home outings while drawing one further match in that same sample, whereas Crawley Town have managed just a solitary victory and a draw from their last five away fixtures. Oldham have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept clean sheets in only two of those same games. Oldham rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Oldham won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 28 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crawley Town's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Oldham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Crawley Town's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Oldham a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Oldham
Oldham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Oldham win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oldham win
Latest market chance 55.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
56.2% → 55.2%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.2%
+0.4 pts
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 21.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.9% → 21.6%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oldham
Draw
Crawley Town
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OldhamCrawley Town
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
24th
12
Games Played
11
1.00
Points/Game
0.55
1.17
Goals/Game
1.09
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.91
14.3
Shots/Game
13.4
3.7
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Oldham at home (7 matches) vs Crawley Town away (6 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.17
1.57
Goals/Game
1.17
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.50
43%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oldham
Home form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crawley Town
Away form
W
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oldham Wins
2
Draws
3
Crawley Town Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.2
Oldham2 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 2Oldham
Oldham3 – 3Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 2Oldham
Crawley Town1 – 4Oldham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oldhamvs
Crawley Town
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 59.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 59.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?