Northampton vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sixfields Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.27
Draw
3.30
Away Win
3.22
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Northampton
Tranmere
37'
⚽ B. Faulkner (Will Vaulks)
42'
🟨 Ryan Watson
90+1'
🟨 Lee O'Connor
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
21
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
6
12
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Northampton (4-4-2)
Z. Jeacock
J. Donacien
E. Moore
J. Guthrie
Joshua Alan Powell
J. Wormleighton
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
L. Evans
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
O. Dale
Matthew Warhurst
Tranmere (4-2-3-1)
L. McGee
L. O'Connor
B. Faulkner
G. Nevett
J. Slater
W. Vaulks
R. Watson
D. Jones
T. Ince
Charlie Jay Whitaker
J. Ironside
Player Ratings ?
Northampton
L. EvansM7.2
E. MooreD7.1
J. DonacienD6.8
Tranmere
B. FaulknerD8.5
W. VaulksM7.7
L. McGeeG7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Northampton
Northampton rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Tranmere edge attack, giving Northampton a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere have secured just three draws from their last five away outings, while Northampton have managed a solitary win in their corresponding home sample. Northampton have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, though they have also kept two clean sheets during that same period. Northampton rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Tranmere rate stronger on attack. Northampton won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 May 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Tranmere's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Northampton a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Tranmere points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Northampton win
Latest market chance 41.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.4% → 41.4%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.6%
+0.5 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 30.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.5% → 30.0%
−0.5 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NorthamptonTranmere

Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
17th
9
Games Played
11
1.11
Points/Game
1.09
0.67
Goals/Game
1.27
0.78
Conceded/Game
1.36
11.5
Shots/Game
11.8
3.8
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Northampton at home (8 matches) vs Tranmere away (7 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
0.62
Conceded/Game
1.43
25%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Northampton
Home form
D
D
W
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Tranmere
Away form
D
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Northampton Wins
4
Draws
1
Tranmere Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Tranmere0 – 1Northampton
Northampton0 – 0Tranmere
Northampton3 – 2Tranmere
Tranmere0 – 2Northampton
Tranmere1 – 2Northampton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Northamptonvs
Tranmere

Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
0/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.1%→Latest 46.3%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?