Northampton vs Oldham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sixfields Stadium
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.30
Draw
3.23
Away Win
3.27
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Northampton
Oldham
Owen Dale 🟨
64'
70'
⚽ Oliver Norburn
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Northampton (3-4-2-1)
Z. Jeacock
J. Donacien
E. Moore
J. Guthrie
J. Wormleighton
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
L. Evans
Joshua Alan Powell
O. Dale
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
Matthew Warhurst
Oldham (4-4-2)
M. Hudson
W. Sutton
D. Daniels
E. Monthe
J. Robson
G. Scott-Morriss
T. Pett
O. Norburn
N. Chilvers
C. Kavanagh
M. Fondop-Talum
Player Ratings ?
Northampton
J. DonacienD6.9
L. EvansM6.6
J. GuthrieD6.5
Oldham
O. NorburnM8.2
M. HudsonG7.0
J. RobsonD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Northampton
Northampton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Northampton an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Northampton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Northampton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham arrive at this League Two fixture with a difficult away record, having recorded only one draw and four defeats in their last five outings, while Northampton have shown more resilience at home with one win and two draws from the same sample size. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, though they have also kept just two clean sheets during that identical period. Northampton rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Oldham rate stronger on attack. Northampton won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 15 April 2022, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Oldham's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Northampton's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Oldham's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Northampton a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Oldham losing run
2
Oldham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Northampton
Northampton's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Northampton win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Northampton win
Latest market chance 39.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.2% → 39.2%
+7.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.0% → 29.4%
−0.6 pts
Oldham win
Latest market chance 31.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
37.8% → 31.5%
−6.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Northampton
Draw
Oldham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NorthamptonOldham
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
21st
12
Games Played
13
1.17
Points/Game
0.92
0.75
Goals/Game
1.08
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.46
11.5
Shots/Game
14.3
3.8
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Northampton at home (8 matches) vs Oldham away (8 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
0.50
Goals/Game
0.62
0.62
Conceded/Game
1.38
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Northampton
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oldham
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Northampton Wins
3
Draws
1
Oldham Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.4
Northampton0 – 1Oldham
Oldham0 – 2Northampton
Northampton2 – 1Oldham
Oldham2 – 2Northampton
Oldham2 – 5Northampton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Northamptonvs
Oldham
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
0/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.1%→Latest 45.2%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.9%→Latest 51.4%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?