Grimsby vs York Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Blundell Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.85
Away Win
2.78
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 2
Match Events ?
Grimsby
York
Andy Cook (Cameron McJannett) ⚽
13'
18'
⚽ Alex Hunt
28'
⚽ Jack Hunt
Iwan Morgan ⚽
31'
Cameron McJannett (Iwan Morgan) ⚽
75'
Josh andrews (Géza Dávid Turi) ⚽
78'
Géza Dávid Turi (Justin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor) ⚽
86'
Match Statistics ?
31%
Ball Possession
69%
24
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Grimsby (3-4-1-2)
C. Pym
H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri
C. McJannet
J. Foulkes
G. Turi
J. Walker
C. Vernam
K. Green
Iwan Morgan
A. Cook
York (3-4-2-1)
Alfie Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
J. Hunt
A. Hunt
A. Read
H. Boyes
J. Grey
O. Pearce
J. Stones
Player Ratings ?
Grimsby
Iwan MorganF8.7
G. TuriM8.2
A. CookF7.8
York
A. HuntM7.8
J. HuntM6.9
J. StonesNone6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Grimsby edge attack and defence, York edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Grimsby stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Grimsby slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
York stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
York arrive at this League Two fixture with a poor away record, having recorded just two draws and three defeats in their last five outings, while Grimsby look more settled at home with two wins and one draw from the same number of matches. At this venue, Grimsby have found the net in four of their last five home games, though they have also kept two clean sheets during that identical span. York rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Grimsby rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2012. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Grimsby losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
York points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Grimsby win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.9% → 40.7%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.9% → 25.5%
−0.4 pts
York win
Latest market chance 33.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.1% → 33.8%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Grimsby
Draw
York
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GrimsbyYork
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
5th
13
Games Played
13
1.31
Points/Game
1.54
1.46
Goals/Game
1.69
1.23
Conceded/Game
1.23
16.6
Shots/Game
14.6
5.2
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Grimsby at home (7 matches) vs York away (8 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
0.38
1.86
Goals/Game
1.12
1.14
Conceded/Game
2.38
57%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Grimsby
Home form
D
W
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Grimsby Wins
0
Draws
2
York Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.8
Grimsby2 – 3York
York2 – 1Grimsby
York1 – 0Grimsby
Grimsby0 – 0York
York0 – 0Grimsby
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Grimsbyvs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 58.2%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.6%→Latest 61.7%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?