Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Highbury Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.98
Draw
3.53
Away Win
3.64
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fleetwood Town edge attack and defence, Tranmere edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tranmere slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere have managed just one win from their last five away outings, whereas Fleetwood Town boast three victories in their last five home matches. Fleetwood Town have scored in all of their last five home matches but have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Tranmere rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Fleetwood Town rate stronger on attack and defence. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 0.8 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Fleetwood Town's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Tranmere's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fleetwood Town win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fleetwood Town win
Latest market chance 47.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
45.6% → 47.4%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.7%
−0.2 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 25.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.5% → 25.8%
−1.7 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
11 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 13
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Tranmere
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
11th
14
Games Played
14
1.21
Points/Game
1.36
1.29
Goals/Game
1.36
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.21
15.1
Shots/Game
11.8
4.1
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Fleetwood Town at home (7 matches) vs Tranmere away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.00
1.43
Goals/Game
1.00
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.43
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fleetwood Town
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Tranmere
Away form
L
D
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fleetwood Town Wins
1
Draws
3
Tranmere Wins
1
Avg Goals
0.8
2026-03-142025-2026
Fleetwood Town0 – 0Tranmere
2025-12-262025-2026
Tranmere1 – 0Fleetwood Town
2025-03-222024-2025
Fleetwood Town0 – 0Tranmere
2025-02-112024-2025
Tranmere0 – 0Fleetwood Town
2019-11-232019-2020
Fleetwood Town2 – 1Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fleetwood Town
vs
Tranmere
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
51.5%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
31.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
55.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 51.5%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 13
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 11 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
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