Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Highbury Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.24
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.06
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham
38'
🟨 brandon cover
Shaun Rooney ⚽
46'
62'
🟨 H. Douglas
Mark Helm 🟨
65'
Ronan Coughlan 🟨
66'
Ronan Coughlan (Crispin McLean) ⚽
80'
89'
🟨 K. Lolas
Jay Lynch 🟨
89'
90+1'
🟨 Dominic Iorfa
Lewis McCann 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
0
9
Corner Kicks
6
9
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Fleetwood Town (3-1-4-2)
J. Lynch
S. Rooney
R. Bennett
F. Potter
H. Neal
L. McCann
A. Murphy
M. Helm
Jake Thomas Batty
C. Evans
R. Coughlan
Rotherham (3-4-1-2)
J. Eyestone
D. Iorfa
Sonny Aljofree
H. Douglas
D. Hall
Brandon Ashley Cover
Jamie Jellis
J. Buyabu
J. Austerfield
T. Bradshaw
P. Mullin
Player Ratings ?
Fleetwood Town
S. RooneyD7.4
R. CoughlanF7.4
F. PotterD7.3
Rotherham
Jayce FitzgeraldM6.7
K. SpenceM6.6
Sonny AljofreeD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fleetwood Town edge defence and head-to-head, recent form and attack are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Rotherham have recorded just one win and a draw from their last five away outings, while Fleetwood Town have secured only a solitary victory in that same span of five home matches. Fleetwood Town have found the net in four of their last five home games but have managed just two clean sheets during that identical period. Fleetwood Town rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form and attack are closely matched. Fleetwood Town won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 January 2022, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Rotherham's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Fleetwood Town's implied win probability has risen by 3.9 percentage points, while Rotherham's implied win probability has fallen by 3.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fleetwood Town win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fleetwood Town win
Latest market chance 41.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.7% → 41.6%
+3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 27.1%
−0.3 pts
Rotherham win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
34.9% → 31.3%
−3.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+4+20−2Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Rotherham
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Fleetwood Town
Rotherham
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
20th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.20
1.10
Conceded/Game
1.60
15.1
Shots/Game
11.2
4.1
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Fleetwood Town at home (7 matches) vs Rotherham away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
0.57
1.43
Goals/Game
0.71
0.71
Conceded/Game
1.43
43%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fleetwood Town
Home form
D
D
W
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Rotherham
Away form
L
D
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fleetwood Town Wins
3
Draws
1
Rotherham Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
2022-01-152021-2022
Fleetwood Town1 – 0Rotherham
2021-09-112021-2022
Rotherham2 – 4Fleetwood Town
2019-12-212019-2020
Rotherham2 – 2Fleetwood Town
2018-04-072017-2018
Rotherham3 – 2Fleetwood Town
2017-08-052017-2018
Fleetwood Town2 – 0Rotherham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fleetwood Town
vs
Rotherham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
74.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
50.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.1%→Latest 50.0%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Oct 11Oct 13Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.0%→Latest 54.7%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…