Exeter vs Fleetwood Town Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
St James Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.39
Draw
3.24
Away Win
3.07
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Exeter
Fleetwood Town
Taylor Perry 🟨
35'
Charlie Cummins (Reece Cole) ⚽
58'
Jack Fitzwater 🟨
60'
61'
⚽ Ronan Coughlan (Crispin McLean)
L. Woodhouse (George Birch) ⚽
64'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Exeter (4-2-3-1)
J. Bycroft
L. Samuel
J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse
H. Kite
C. Cummins
George Birch
T. Perry
A. Scully
J. Gordon
Fleetwood Town (3-1-4-2)
J. Lynch
S. Rooney
Conor Haughey
F. Potter
H. Neal
L. McCann
C. McLean
M. Helm
Jake Thomas Batty
C. Evans
R. Coughlan
Player Ratings ?
Exeter
L. WoodhouseD7.5
George BirchM7.2
C. CumminsM7.1
Fleetwood Town
R. CoughlanF7.7
C. McLeanM6.9
A. Loupalo-BiF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Exeter edge recent form and defence, Fleetwood Town edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fleetwood Town stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Exeter stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fleetwood Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Exeter arrive at home with an impressive unbeaten record from their last five outings, while Fleetwood Town have struggled away from home, managing just two draws and three losses in the same span. The Stags have found the net in three of their last five matches at home but also keep a clean sheet four times in that identical period. Exeter rate stronger on form and defence, while Fleetwood Town rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 24 February 2024, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Exeter's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points, while Fleetwood Town's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Fleetwood Town losing run
2
Fleetwood Town points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Fleetwood Town win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Exeter remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Exeter win
Latest market chance 38.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.0% → 38.8%
+2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.1% → 29.6%
+0.5 pts
Fleetwood Town win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
35.0% → 31.7%
−3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Exeter
Draw
Fleetwood Town
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ExeterFleetwood Town

Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
18th
12
Games Played
12
1.33
Points/Game
1.17
0.67
Goals/Game
1.17
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
11.1
Shots/Game
15.1
3.3
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Exeter at home (7 matches) vs Fleetwood Town away (7 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.71
1.14
Goals/Game
1.14
0.29
Conceded/Game
1.86
57%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Exeter
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Fleetwood Town
Away form
D
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Exeter Wins
2
Draws
2
Fleetwood Town Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Exeter1 – 1Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town3 – 0Exeter
Fleetwood Town2 – 2Exeter
Exeter2 – 1Fleetwood Town
Exeter3 – 0Fleetwood Town
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Exetervs
Fleetwood Town

Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.0%→Latest 45.9%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 52.4%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?