Crewe vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Alexandra Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.05
Draw
3.71
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Crewe
Barnet
Reece Hutchinson 🟨
33'
34'
⚽ Tom Knowles
36'
🟨 Nikola Tavares
45'
🟨 Nnamdi Ofoborh
72'
🟨 Oisin Gallagher
Zac Williams ⚽ (OG)
85'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
9
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Crewe (4-2-3-1)
I. Lawlor
L. Billington
L. Offord
J. Stephenson
R. Hutchinson
M. Holíček
C. Thomas
J. March
J. Tabiner
J. Gibson
C. McNeill
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
N. Tavares
R. Crichlow-Noble
B. Comley
N. Ofoborh
T. Knowles
O. Gallagher
C. Lakin
K. Tshimanga
Player Ratings ?
Crewe
L. OffordD6.7
J. WhiteM6.6
C. ThomasM6.5
Barnet
T. KnowlesM7.6
D. AjayiF6.9
Z. WilliamsD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Barnet edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barnet have enjoyed an encouraging recent record away from home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Crewe remain unbeaten at this venue with two victories and three draws in the same span. Crewe have found the net in all five of their home matches recently but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run, conceding goals in every single fixture at this end. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 3 February 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Crewe's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Barnet's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barnet unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Crewe
Crewe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Crewe win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Barnet remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crewe win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.4% → 31.7%
+1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.6%
−0.2 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 42.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
43.7% → 42.7%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crewe
Draw
Barnet
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CreweBarnet
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
2nd
13
Games Played
12
1.62
Points/Game
2.08
1.23
Goals/Game
2.25
1.23
Conceded/Game
1.42
11.1
Shots/Game
15.5
3.3
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Crewe at home (7 matches) vs Barnet away (6 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
2.00
1.71
Goals/Game
2.17
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.33
43%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crewe
Home form
D
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crewe Wins
2
Draws
1
Barnet Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Barnet1 – 1Crewe
Crewe1 – 2Barnet
Barnet2 – 1Crewe
Crewe1 – 0Barnet
Crewe4 – 1Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crewevs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 59.2%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 62.5%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?