Crawley Town vs Tranmere Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Broadfield Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.63
Draw
3.64
Away Win
2.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Kai Jennings 🟨
32'
Dylan Morgan ⚽
52'
60'
⚽ Will Vaulks (Thomas Ince)
67'
🟨 Thomas Ince
76'
🟨 Will Vaulks
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
15
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Goal
4
5
Corner Kicks
15
12
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Crawley Town (4-2-3-1)
V. Mannone
K. Gordon
P. Farquharson
J. Russell
L. Richards
Kai Jennings
J. Arthurs
S. Duke-McKenna
Dylan Morgan
A. Adeyemo
D. Orsi
Tranmere (5-4-1)
L. McGee
J. Senior
L. O'Connor
B. Faulkner
G. Nevett
J. Slater
D. Jones
W. Vaulks
T. Conlon
T. Ince
J. Ironside
Player Ratings ?
Crawley Town
Dylan MorganNone8.2
P. FarquharsonD7.3
J. RussellD7.0
Tranmere
W. VaulksM7.8
L. McGeeG7.7
L. O'ConnorD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Tranmere
Tranmere rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Tranmere a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Tranmere stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Tranmere arrive at this League Two fixture having secured just one win from their last five away outings, while Crawley Town have endured a difficult run with four defeats in their last five home matches. Crawley Town have scored in three of their last five home matches but have managed zero clean sheets in that same period. Tranmere rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Tranmere won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 14 February 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crawley Town's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Crawley Town's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points, while Tranmere's implied win probability has fallen by 5.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Tranmere a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Crawley Town losing run
1
Crawley Town points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Tranmere
Tranmere's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Tranmere win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 36.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 36.2%
+5.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 27.0%
+0.3 pts
Tranmere win
Latest market chance 36.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
42.6% → 36.8%
−5.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crawley Town
Draw
Tranmere
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crawley TownTranmere
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
13th
10
Games Played
12
0.50
Points/Game
1.25
1.10
Goals/Game
1.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
13.4
Shots/Game
11.8
4.3
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Crawley Town at home (6 matches) vs Tranmere away (7 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.43
0%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crawley Town
Home form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Tranmere
Away form
D
L
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crawley Town Wins
3
Draws
0
Tranmere Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Tranmere2 – 0Crawley Town
Crawley Town0 – 2Tranmere
Tranmere1 – 3Crawley Town
Crawley Town3 – 2Tranmere
Crawley Town2 – 1Tranmere
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crawley Townvs
Tranmere
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 58.0%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?