Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Broadfield Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.87
Draw
3.44
Away Win
2.41
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
3'
🟨 Luca Hoole
Ade Adeyemo (Stephen·Duke-Mckenna) ⚽
4'
Jonathan Russell 🟨
37'
43'
🟨 Josh Davison
62'
⚽ Josh Davison (George Lloyd)
82'
⚽ George Lloyd
Dylan Morgan 🟨
84'
Dylan Morgan (Louie Watson) ⚽
85'
90+4'
⚽ Josh Davison
90+5'
🟨 George Lloyd
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
7
4
Corner Kicks
2
8
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Crawley Town (3-4-2-1)
V. Mannone
L. Richards
P. Farquharson
J. Russell
A. Adeyemo
Nathan Tinsdale
J. Arthurs
Kai Jennings
S. Duke-McKenna
Dylan Morgan
Osman Kamara
Shrewsbury (3-4-1-2)
William Michael Brook
S. Stubbs
W. Boyle
J. Ruffels
L. Hoole
T. Sang
will gray
K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd
J. Davison
Player Ratings ?
Crawley Town
A. AdeyemoM7.8
P. FarquharsonD6.7
S. Duke-McKennaM6.6
Shrewsbury
G. LloydF8.6
J. DavisonF8.6
K. M. BrownM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Shrewsbury a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Shrewsbury stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Shrewsbury have managed just one win and a draw from their last five away outings, while Crawley Town remain winless at home with two draws in the same span. Crawley Town have found the net in only two of their last five matches at home and have kept just a single clean sheet during that period. Shrewsbury rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Shrewsbury a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Crawley Town losing run
2
Crawley Town points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 33.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.7% → 33.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 28.1%
±0.0 pts
Shrewsbury win
Latest market chance 38.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.2% → 38.7%
+0.5 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crawley TownShrewsbury
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
14th
9
Games Played
11
0.56
Points/Game
1.27
1.00
Goals/Game
0.91
1.89
Conceded/Game
1.36
13.4
Shots/Game
13.8
4.3
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Crawley Town at home (6 matches) vs Shrewsbury away (7 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
1.14
1.00
Goals/Game
1.29
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Crawley Town
Home form
D
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Shrewsbury
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crawley Town Wins
1
Draws
2
Shrewsbury Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Crawley Town0 – 0Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 0Crawley Town
Shrewsbury1 – 2Crawley Town
Crawley Town3 – 5Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury1 – 1Crawley Town
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crawley Townvs
Shrewsbury
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 51.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 56.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Crawley Town's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?