Crawley Town vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Broadfield Stadium
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.04
Draw
4.31
Away Win
1.67
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barnet
Barnet rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Crawley Town edge head-to-head, giving Barnet a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Crawley Town slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barnet arrive with an impressive away record, having secured three victories and two draws from their last five outings without a defeat, while Crawley Town sit at the opposite end of the spectrum after suffering three losses and just two draws in their home fixtures over the same period. At home, Crawley Town have managed to find the net in only one of their last five matches, yet they have also kept two clean sheets during that identical span. Barnet rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Crawley Town hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 17 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Barnet.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barnet unbeaten run
2
Crawley Town points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Crawley Town win
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.8% → 21.9%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.2%
+0.4 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 54.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.4% → 54.9%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Crawley Town
Draw
Barnet
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Crawley TownBarnet

Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
2nd
12
Games Played
13
0.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.08
Goals/Game
2.15
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.38
13.4
Shots/Game
15.5
4.3
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Crawley Town at home (6 matches) vs Barnet away (6 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.17
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Crawley Town
Home form
L
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Barnet
Away form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Crawley Town Wins
2
Draws
2
Barnet Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Crawley Town1 – 1Barnet
Barnet2 – 1Crawley Town
Crawley Town2 – 0Barnet
Barnet1 – 2Crawley Town
Barnet2 – 2Crawley Town
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Crawley Townvs
Barnet

Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.8%→Latest 60.8%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.9%→Latest 59.7%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?