Chesterfield vs Crewe Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Proact Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
4.10
Away Win
4.62
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Chesterfield
Crewe
Josh Koroma (Liam Mandeville) ⚽
3'
Tom Naylor (F. Bryden) ⚽
6'
F. Bryden (Liam Mandeville) ⚽
19'
Joshua Stephenson ⚽ (OG)
35'
Liam Mandeville (Tom Pearce) ⚽
45+1'
57'
⚽ Charlie McNeill (Jordan Gibson)
69'
🟨 Lee Bell
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
14
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Goal
2
2
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Chesterfield (4-2-3-1)
Z. Hemming
R. Hutton
A. Pond
J. Simpson
T. Pearce
T. Naylor
G. McEachran
L. Mandeville
L. Marsh
J. Koroma
F. Bryden
Crewe (4-2-3-1)
T. Booth
L. Billington
L. Offord
J. Stephenson
R. Hutchinson
M. Holíček
C. Thomas
J. Tabiner
Calum Agius
J. Gibson
J. March
Player Ratings ?
Chesterfield
L. MandevilleM9.4
F. BrydenF8.6
T. NaylorM8.2
Crewe
C. McNeillF7.2
J. GibsonM6.5
A. ThibautF6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chesterfield edge attack and head-to-head, Crewe edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Crewe stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Chesterfield have enjoyed a solid run at home with two wins and three draws from their last five outings, while Crewe are slightly less consistent away on the road with just one win and three draws in their corresponding sample. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that same period. Crewe rate stronger on form, while Chesterfield rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Chesterfield won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 25 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Crewe's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Chesterfield's implied win probability has risen by 3.8 percentage points, while Crewe's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Chesterfield
Chesterfield's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Chesterfield win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 56.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
52.4% → 56.2%
+3.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 23.8%
−1.1 pts
Crewe win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.7% → 20.0%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chesterfield
Draw
Crewe
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ChesterfieldCrewe
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
3rd
12
Games Played
12
1.33
Points/Game
1.75
1.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.92
17.1
Shots/Game
11.1
5.6
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Chesterfield at home (7 matches) vs Crewe away (7 matches)
1.71
Points/Game
1.29
2.29
Goals/Game
0.71
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.29
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chesterfield
Home form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Crewe
Away form
D
D
D
W
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chesterfield Wins
2
Draws
1
Crewe Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.8
Chesterfield2 – 0Crewe
Crewe3 – 3Chesterfield
Chesterfield1 – 3Crewe
Crewe0 – 5Chesterfield
Chesterfield0 – 2Crewe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chesterfieldvs
Crewe
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 57.1%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.7%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?