Cheltenham vs Salford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Whaddon Road
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.89
Draw
3.97
Away Win
1.83
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Cheltenham
Salford
Freddie willcox 🟨
6'
Jake Evans 🟨
20'
49'
🟨 Abraham Odoh
56'
🟨 Luke Molyneux
Jonathan Tomkinson 🟨
57'
Jordan Shipley 🟨
64'
71'
🟨 Will Aimson
Ben Stevenson 🟥
78'
84'
⚽ Jorge Grant
Andreas Weimann 🟨
85'
90+3'
⚽ Jorge Grant (Kallum Cesay)
90+7'
🟨 Luke Garbutt
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
4
Total Shots
12
0
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
4
15
Fouls
11
5
Yellow Cards
4
1
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Cheltenham (4-1-4-1)
W. Stanway
J. Wilson
R. Cundy
P. Sweeney
J. Tomkinson
B. Stevenson
J. Evans
F. Willcox
J. Shipley
R. Broom
A. Weimann
Salford (3-5-2)
W. Norris
W. Aimson
D. Scarr
T. Allen
L. Molyneux
E. Bonds
J. Grant
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
A. Odoh
R. Graydon
M. Langstaff
Player Ratings ?
Cheltenham
R. CundyD6.9
R. BroomM6.8
F. WillcoxM6.6
Salford
J. GrantM9.0
T. AllenD7.2
N. AsiimweD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cheltenham edge head-to-head, Salford edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cheltenham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Cheltenham have secured three victories from their last five home outings, Salford have managed just a solitary win and a draw across their corresponding away fixtures in that same span. Cheltenham have found the net in every one of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Salford rate stronger on form and defence, while Cheltenham rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Cheltenham won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 21 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Salford's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Cheltenham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Salford's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Salford losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Salford
Salford's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Salford win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cheltenham win
Latest market chance 24.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.0% → 24.6%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.7%
±0.0 pts
Salford win
Latest market chance 50.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
49.3% → 50.8%
+1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cheltenham
Draw
Salford
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CheltenhamSalford
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
9
1.67
Points/Game
1.78
1.78
Goals/Game
1.44
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.11
8.9
Shots/Game
14.8
3.2
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Cheltenham at home (7 matches) vs Salford away (7 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
1.86
2.00
Goals/Game
2.29
1.43
Conceded/Game
1.57
71%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cheltenham
Home form
L
W
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Salford
Away form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cheltenham Wins
3
Draws
1
Salford Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
Cheltenham3 – 2Salford
Salford1 – 1Cheltenham
Cheltenham2 – 1Salford
Salford2 – 1Cheltenham
Cheltenham2 – 0Salford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cheltenhamvs
Salford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 56.1%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 57.3%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Cheltenham's 10 matches and 1 of Salford's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?