Bristol Rvs vs Salford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Memorial Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.64
Draw
3.38
Away Win
2.64
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Bristol Rvs
Salford
6'
⚽ Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu (Kallum Cesay)
20'
⚽ Daniel Udoh (Luke Molyneux)
29'
🟨 Elliot Bonds
Kofi Balmer 🟨
37'
Ciaran Kelly 🟨
38'
Shaqai Forde 🟨
41'
45+1'
🟨 Ryan Graydon
48'
🟨 Luke Garbutt
Ellis Harrison •
54'
Jack Sparkes ⚽
57'
Keenan Gough 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
5
7
Corner Kicks
3
15
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Bristol Rvs (3-4-1-2)
Brad Young
T. James
A. Kilgour
C. Kelly
K. Balmer
Keenan Gough
C. Mola
J. Sparkes
S. Forde
F. Cavegn
E. Harrison
Salford (3-5-2)
W. Norris
A. Oluwo
D. Scarr
T. Allen
L. Molyneux
K. Cesay
E. Bonds
B. Sarpong-Wiredu
L. Garbutt
R. Graydon
D. Udoh
Player Ratings ?
Bristol Rvs
J. SparkesM6.7
J. QuigleyF6.6
Keenan GoughM6.5
Salford
D. UdohF7.8
W. NorrisG7.8
B. Sarpong-WireduM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol Rvs edge head-to-head, Salford edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Salford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Salford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bristol Rvs stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bristol Rovers have secured four wins from their last five home outings, while Salford have recorded two victories in their corresponding away fixtures during the same period. The hosts have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have kept three clean sheets within that identical sample. Salford rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Bristol Rvs rate stronger on head-to-head. Salford won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 24 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 4 encounters to Bristol Rvs's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.75 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Bristol Rvs unbeaten run
3/4
One-goal H2H results
12
Bristol Rvs points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 36.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.3% → 36.2%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 27.4%
+0.5 pts
Salford win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.8% → 36.4%
−0.4 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol Rvs
Salford
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
1st
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
2.00
1.36
Goals/Game
1.55
1.64
Conceded/Game
1.00
15.1
Shots/Game
14.8
4.4
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Bristol Rvs at home (7 matches) vs Salford away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.86
1.57
Goals/Game
2.29
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.57
57%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol Rvs
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Salford
Away form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol Rvs Wins
2
Draws
1
Salford Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
2026-01-242025-2026
Salford1 – 0Bristol Rvs
2025-09-272025-2026
Bristol Rvs2 – 1Salford
2022-04-152021-2022
Bristol Rvs1 – 0Salford
2021-11-232021-2022
Salford1 – 1Bristol Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Rvs
vs
Salford
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
77.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
55.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 55.2%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Oct 18Oct 19Oct 20
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 60.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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