Bristol Rvs vs Chesterfield Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Memorial Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.89
Draw
3.34
Away Win
2.41
Match Prediction
Data favours
Chesterfield
Chesterfield rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Chesterfield a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Chesterfield stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Chesterfield have recorded just one victory and a single draw in their last five away fixtures, while Bristol Rvs have secured two wins alongside a draw in two of their home outings over the same span. Bristol Rvs have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have only managed three clean sheets during that identical period. Chesterfield rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Chesterfield won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 7 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Bristol Rvs's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Bristol Rvs's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points, while Chesterfield's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Chesterfield a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Bristol Rvs unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bristol Rvs win as less likely than it did 11 days ago. Chesterfield remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 32.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.5% → 32.4%
−4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.9% → 27.8%
+0.9 pts
Chesterfield win
Latest market chance 39.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.5% → 39.8%
+3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bristol Rvs
Draw
Chesterfield
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol RvsChesterfield
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
10th
14
Games Played
14
1.14
Points/Game
1.36
1.21
Goals/Game
1.71
1.64
Conceded/Game
1.50
15.1
Shots/Game
17.1
4.4
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Bristol Rvs at home (7 matches) vs Chesterfield away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
1.00
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.71
57%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol Rvs
Home form
W
W
L
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Chesterfield
Away form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol Rvs Wins
1
Draws
0
Chesterfield Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.2
Bristol Rvs2 – 3Chesterfield
Chesterfield3 – 1Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs2 – 1Chesterfield
Chesterfield3 – 2Bristol Rvs
Chesterfield3 – 1Bristol Rvs
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Rvsvs
Chesterfield
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 53.6%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 57.8%−1.1 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?