Bristol Rvs vs Barnet Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Memorial Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.35
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.90
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Bristol Rvs
Barnet
Ellis Harrison ⚽
4'
Shaqai Forde 🟨
29'
31'
🟨 Idris Kanu
Ben Purrington 🟨
65'
Steve Evans 🟨
65'
79'
⚽ Adam Senior (Kabongo Tshimanga)
Tommy Leigh 🟥
85'
86'
⚽ Zac Williams
90+5'
🟨 Daniele Collinge
90+5'
⚽ Kabongo Tshimanga (Damola Ajayi)
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
18
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
2
16
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Bristol Rvs (4-2-3-1)
Brad Young
T. James
K. Balmer
C. Kelly
B. Purrington
Keenan Gough
C. Mola
S. Forde
T. Leigh
E. Harrison
F. Cavegn
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
Z. Williams
R. Crichlow-Noble
J. Reeves
O. Gallagher
C. Lakin
I. Kanu
T. Knowles
K. Tshimanga
Player Ratings ?
Bristol Rvs
E. HarrisonM7.4
T. JamesD6.6
F. CavegnF6.5
Barnet
K. TshimangaF8.6
A. SeniorD7.2
Z. WilliamsD7.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol Rvs edge defence, Barnet edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bristol Rvs slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bristol Rovers have secured five straight victories at home in their last five outings, while Barnet remain unbeaten away from home with three wins and two draws from their corresponding sample. The hosts have scored in each of their last five matches but have kept four clean sheets during that same period. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Bristol Rvs hold a slight advantage in defence. Barnet won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 29 December 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Bristol Rvs's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Bristol Rvs's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Barnet's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Bristol Rvs unbeaten run
15
Bristol Rvs points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bristol Rvs win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol Rvs win
Latest market chance 41.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.9% → 41.2%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.8% → 26.8%
+1.0 pts
Barnet win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.3% → 32.0%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bristol Rvs
Draw
Barnet
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol RvsBarnet
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
2nd
9
Games Played
7
1.67
Points/Game
2.14
1.56
Goals/Game
2.43
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.43
15.1
Shots/Game
15.5
4.4
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Bristol Rvs at home (7 matches) vs Barnet away (6 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
2.00
1.57
Goals/Game
2.17
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.33
57%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol Rvs
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnet
Away form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol Rvs Wins
2
Draws
0
Barnet Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Bristol Rvs0 – 2Barnet
Barnet4 – 0Bristol Rvs
Barnet1 – 0Bristol Rvs
Bristol Rvs3 – 1Barnet
Bristol Rvs2 – 1Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Rvsvs
Barnet
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
10/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.2%→Latest 55.8%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 59.5%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Bristol Rvs's 10 matches and 2 of Barnet's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?