Barnet vs York Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hive Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.84
Away Win
3.26
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Barnet
York
Dean Brennan 🟨
11'
29'
🟨 Alex Hunt
37'
⚽ Arthur Read (Joseph Rabole Felix)
Kabongo Tshimanga ⚽
39'
45+4'
🟨 Hiram Boateng
J Maskell 🟨
46'
Idris Kanu 🟨
49'
52'
🟥 Hiram Boateng
62'
🟨 Ollie Pearce
68'
🟨 Scott Lindsey
77'
🟨 Jeff King
Jake Reeves ⚽
80'
Jake Reeves 🟨
83'
A. McNally ⚽ (OG)
87'
Damola Ajayi 🟨
87'
90+2'
🟨 Mark Kitching
90+2'
🟨 Morgan·Williams
90+6'
🟥 Scott Lindsey
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
4
17
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
5
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Barnet (4-4-2)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
N. Tavares
R. Crichlow-Noble
I. Kanu
O. Gallagher
B. Comley
C. Lakin
J. Maskell
K. Tshimanga
York (3-4-2-1)
Alfie Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson
M. Kitching
J. Felix
H. Boateng
A. Hunt
H. Boyes
O. Banks
J. Grey
O. Pearce
Player Ratings ?
Barnet
J. ReevesM7.9
K. TshimangaF7.5
N. OfoborhM7.0
York
A. ReadM7.1
J. FelixM6.5
J. StonesNone6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Barnet edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, York edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
York slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
York arrive at this League Two fixture having recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Barnet have been impressive at home with four wins and no losses across the same span. The hosts have found the net in five of their last five matches at this venue but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical period. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Barnet won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 18 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to York's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison gives Barnet a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barnet unbeaten run
3
York points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barnet win
Latest market chance 46.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.3% → 46.2%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.7%
+0.4 pts
York win
Latest market chance 29.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.4% → 29.1%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barnet
Draw
York
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarnetYork
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
5th
11
Games Played
12
2.00
Points/Game
1.67
2.18
Goals/Game
1.75
1.45
Conceded/Game
1.08
15.5
Shots/Game
14.6
4.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Barnet at home (8 matches) vs York away (8 matches)
2.12
Points/Game
0.38
2.25
Goals/Game
1.12
1.38
Conceded/Game
2.38
62%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barnet
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
York
Away form
L
D
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barnet Wins
4
Draws
0
York Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.0
Barnet3 – 1York
Barnet3 – 1York
York3 – 1Barnet
Barnet2 – 0York
York2 – 4Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barnetvs
York
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.8%→Latest 62.1%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 64.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?