Barnet vs Oldham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hive Stadium
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.71
Draw
3.85
Away Win
4.73
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Barnet
Oldham
Kabongo Tshimanga (Romoney Crichlow-Noble) ⚽
20'
Isiah Noel Williams 🟨
66'
Isiah Noel Williams 🟥
70'
86'
🟨 Mike·Fondop-Talum
90+4'
⚽ Mike·Fondop-Talum (Oliver Norburn)
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
4
11
Corner Kicks
7
8
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Barnet (4-2-3-1)
M. Cox
A. Senior
D. Collinge
Z. Williams
R. Crichlow-Noble
O. Gallagher
J. Reeves
D. Ajayi
C. Lakin
I. Kanu
K. Tshimanga
Oldham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hudson
W. Sutton
D. Daniels
E. Monthe
J. Robson
O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi
Kai Payne
C. Kavanagh
M. Fondop-Talum
Player Ratings ?
Barnet
K. TshimangaF7.8
N. TavaresD7.0
N. OfoborhM6.8
Oldham
M. Fondop-TalumF7.7
K. DrummondF7.2
F. FawunmiM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Barnet
Barnet rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Barnet an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Barnet slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Barnet stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham arrive at this fixture with a poor away record in their last five outings, managing just one draw from four defeats, while Barnet have secured three victories and drawn once during that same five-match home run. At their home venue, Barnet have found the net in each of their last five matches but have yet to keep a clean sheet during that identical spell. Barnet rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Barnet won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 24 January 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Oldham's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Barnet's implied win probability has risen by 6.0 percentage points, while Oldham's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Barnet.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barnet unbeaten run
1
Oldham points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Barnet
Barnet's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barnet win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Barnet win
Latest market chance 54.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
48.4% → 54.4%
+6.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.9% → 24.0%
−1.9 pts
Oldham win
Latest market chance 21.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
25.7% → 21.6%
−4.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Barnet
Draw
Oldham
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BarnetOldham
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
21st
10
Games Played
11
2.10
Points/Game
1.00
2.30
Goals/Game
1.18
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.55
15.5
Shots/Game
14.3
4.7
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Barnet at home (8 matches) vs Oldham away (8 matches)
2.12
Points/Game
1.00
2.25
Goals/Game
0.62
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.38
62%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Barnet
Home form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oldham
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Barnet Wins
2
Draws
2
Oldham Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Barnet3 – 2Oldham
Oldham1 – 1Barnet
Oldham0 – 3Barnet
Barnet0 – 0Oldham
Oldham2 – 0Barnet
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Barnetvs
Oldham
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
10/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 57.6%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 57.9%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?