Wycombe vs Notts County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Adams Park
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.95
Draw
3.65
Away Win
3.84
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Wycombe
Notts County
Jack Grimmer 🟨
22'
Max Sanders ⚽ (OG)
44'
77'
🟨 Scott Robertson
Fred Onyedinma (Daniel Harvie) ⚽
86'
90+4'
🟨 James Gibbons
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
4
3
Shots on Goal
0
9
Corner Kicks
3
18
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wycombe (3-5-2)
C. Hazard
J. Grimmer
A. Hagelskjær
C. Taylor
F. Onyedinma
C. Boyd-Munce
J. Scowen
Jamie Mullins
D. Harvie
C. Woodrow
J. Wareham
Notts County (3-4-2-1)
J. Gibbons
L. Ness
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
J. Gibbons
M. Sanders
J. Evans
N. Tsaroulla
C. Roberts
R. Finneran
L. Ndlovu
Player Ratings ?
Wycombe
F. OnyedinmaM8.2
C. TaylorD7.7
D. HarvieM7.6
Notts County
M. PalmerM6.7
R. McDonaldD6.6
S. RobertsonM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wycombe edge recent form and attack, Notts County edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Notts County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Notts County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Notts County have recorded three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Wycombe mirror that exact tally of three draws and two losses across their home fixtures over the same period. Wycombe have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those same fixtures. Wycombe rate stronger on form and attack, while Notts County rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 6-day comparison window, Wycombe's implied win probability has risen by 2.3 percentage points, while Notts County's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
55%
Wycombe yellow cards after 75'
3
Wycombe points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Wycombe
Wycombe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wycombe win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wycombe win
Latest market chance 48.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
46.1% → 48.4%
+2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.0% → 26.4%
−0.6 pts
Notts County win
Latest market chance 25.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.0% → 25.2%
−1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wycombe
Draw
Notts County
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WycombeNotts County
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
22nd
9
Games Played
8
1.11
Points/Game
0.88
1.56
Goals/Game
1.00
2.22
Conceded/Game
1.38
13.1
Shots/Game
11.8
4.8
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Wycombe at home (7 matches) vs Notts County away (6 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.00
1.71
Goals/Game
1.00
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.33
29%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wycombe
Home form
D
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Notts County
Away form
L
D
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wycombe Wins
1
Draws
2
Notts County Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Notts County0 – 0Wycombe
Wycombe2 – 4Notts County
Wycombe0 – 1Notts County
Notts County0 – 2Wycombe
Notts County0 – 0Wycombe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wycombevs
Notts County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 51.6%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.3%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Wycombe's 10 matches and 2 of Notts County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?