Wycombe vs Burton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Adams Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.55
Draw
4.46
Away Win
5.60
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Wycombe
Burton
Daniel Harvie 🟨
12'
Jayden Wareham ⚽
21'
Malik Mothersille 🟨
23'
38'
🟨 Toby Sibbick
Cauley Woodrow (Fred Onyedinma) ⚽
53'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
16
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Wycombe (4-2-3-1)
C. Hazard
J. Grimmer
C. Taylor
A. Hagelskjær
D. Harvie
J. Scowen
C. Boyd-Munce
F. Onyedinma
C. Woodrow
M. Mothersille
J. Wareham
Burton (3-4-2-1)
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
C. Tilt
J. Sraha
R. Borges Rodrigues
Sulyman Krubally
K. Chauke
J. Armer
G. Arubi
C. Webster
Mark O’Mahony
Player Ratings ?
Wycombe
J. WarehamF7.6
C. WoodrowM7.5
F. OnyedinmaM7.4
Burton
K. ChaukeM6.6
C. WebsterM6.5
G. ArubiM6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wycombe edge attack and head-to-head, Burton edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Burton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wycombe stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Burton have recorded just one win and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Wycombe have managed only one victory alongside two draws during their most recent five home fixtures. Wycombe have scored in all five of their last home matches but have kept just one clean sheet from that same sample. Wycombe rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while Burton hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Wycombe won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 28 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Burton's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Wycombe's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Burton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Wycombe
Wycombe's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Wycombe win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wycombe win
Latest market chance 61.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
59.3% → 61.2%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.6% → 21.9%
−0.7 pts
Burton win
Latest market chance 16.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.1% → 16.9%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wycombe
Draw
Burton
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WycombeBurton
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
12th
12
Games Played
13
1.25
Points/Game
1.31
1.58
Goals/Game
1.38
1.92
Conceded/Game
1.46
13.1
Shots/Game
11.3
4.8
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Wycombe at home (7 matches) vs Burton away (7 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.00
1.71
Goals/Game
0.86
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.57
29%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wycombe
Home form
L
D
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Burton
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wycombe Wins
3
Draws
2
Burton Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.4
Wycombe3 – 0Burton
Burton0 – 0Wycombe
Wycombe2 – 0Burton
Burton2 – 3Wycombe
Burton1 – 1Wycombe
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wycombevs
Burton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 56.6%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 53.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?