Wigan vs Reading Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
DW Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.07
Draw
3.72
Away Win
1.88
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Wigan
Reading
23'
🟨 Andy Rinomhota
Charlie Gray 🟨
52'
Scott Hogan ⚽
71'
James Carragher 🟨
74'
74'
🟨 Haydon Roberts
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Wigan (3-4-2-1)
J. Whitworth
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
J. Carragher
F. Burns
C. Barrett
Charlie Gray
J. Weir
Archie Harris
R. Walsh
B. Burrows
S. Hogan
Reading (4-1-3-2)
Joel Pereira
U. Godwin-Malife
P. O'Connor
J. Dorsett
H. Roberts
A. Rinomhota
Kyreece Lisbie
L. Wing
P. Lane
J. Stokes
J. Reid
Player Ratings ?
Wigan
J. WhitworthG8.6
S. HoganF7.8
F. BurnsD7.2
Reading
L. WingM7.2
U. Godwin-MalifeD6.9
Joel PereiraG6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Reading
Reading rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Reading a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Reading slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Reading have managed just one win from their last five away outings, while Wigan have suffered four defeats in that same span at home. Wigan have scored in only one of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. Reading rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Reading won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 28 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Wigan's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Wigan's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points, while Reading's implied win probability has risen by 5.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Reading a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Wigan points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Reading
Reading's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Reading win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wigan win
Latest market chance 24.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
28.5% → 24.4%
−4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.6% → 25.6%
−1.0 pts
Reading win
Latest market chance 50.0%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
44.9% → 50.0%
+5.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wigan
Draw
Reading
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WiganReading
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
6th
8
Games Played
9
0.50
Points/Game
1.67
0.62
Goals/Game
2.44
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.22
12.5
Shots/Game
15.3
3.1
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Wigan at home (8 matches) vs Reading away (8 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
0.75
0.88
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.25
38%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wigan
Home form
L
W
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Reading
Away form
D
L
L
D
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wigan Wins
1
Draws
0
Reading Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Reading3 – 0Wigan
Wigan1 – 2Reading
Wigan1 – 2Reading
Reading2 – 0Wigan
Wigan1 – 0Reading
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wiganvs
Reading
Recent Scoring Profile
0.50
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
8/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 58.0%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?