Wigan vs Barnsley Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
DW Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.31
Draw
3.69
Away Win
2.87
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wigan edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Barnsley edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wigan stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Barnsley stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wigan stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wigan stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wigan have secured two victories and two draws in their last five home outings, whereas Barnsley have managed just a solitary win across their last five away fixtures. At home, Wigan have scored in two of their last five matches while also keeping three clean sheets during the same period. Wigan rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Barnsley rate stronger on attack. The most recent meeting, on 17 March 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Wigan's implied win probability has risen by 1.7 percentage points, while Barnsley's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Barnsley losing run
54%
Barnsley yellow cards after 75'
3
Barnsley points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Wigan
No current absences reported
Barnsley
No current absences reported
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Barnsley
Barnsley's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Barnsley win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Wigan remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wigan win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
39.0% → 40.7%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.1%
+0.1 pts
Barnsley win
Latest market chance 33.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
35.0% → 33.2%
−1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wigan
Draw
Barnsley
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WiganBarnsley
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
23rd
14
Games Played
12
0.79
Points/Game
0.75
0.79
Goals/Game
1.00
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.83
12.5
Shots/Game
16.5
3.1
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Wigan at home (8 matches) vs Barnsley away (6 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
0.67
0.88
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.83
38%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wigan
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnsley
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wigan Wins
1
Draws
4
Barnsley Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.8
Barnsley1 – 1Wigan
Wigan1 – 1Barnsley
Wigan1 – 1Barnsley
Barnsley0 – 1Wigan
Barnsley1 – 1Wigan
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wiganvs
Barnsley
Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
6/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 59.9%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 62.5%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?