Stockport vs Barnsley Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Edgeley Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.43
Draw
5.39
Away Win
6.02
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Stockport
Barnsley
13'
⚽ Patrick Kelly
25'
🟨 Cameron McGeehan
Kyle Wootton (Oliver Norwood) ⚽
61'
Harry Wood 🟨
63'
Kyle Wootton (Jason Adigun) ⚽
73'
83'
🟨 Jack Shepherd
Mikael Mandron (Jason Adigun) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
9
11
Corner Kicks
6
5
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Stockport (3-4-3)
Oliver Whatmuff
Kyron Silveria Gordon
E. O'Connell
E. Pye
R. Glover
L. Bate
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
J. Diamond
K. Wootton
H. Wood
Barnsley (4-2-3-1)
Rogan Ravenhill
T. Noslin
C. O'Riordan
J. Shepherd
A. Kay
C. McGeehan
Vimal Yoganathan
Amani Richards
Patrick Kelly
R. Cleary
Royce Brownlie
Player Ratings ?
Stockport
K. WoottonF9.1
O. NorwoodM7.7
Oliver WhatmuffG7.4
Barnsley
Patrick KellyM6.8
Royce BrownlieNone6.5
C. McGeehanM6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stockport
Stockport rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stockport a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stockport slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Barnsley have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while Stockport have secured three victories in their last five home matches. Stockport have scored in all five of their recent home fixtures but have kept just two clean sheets from the same sample. Stockport rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Stockport won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Barnsley's 0, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Stockport's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points, while Barnsley's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Stockport a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Barnsley
Barnsley's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Barnsley win as more likely than it did 13 days ago. Stockport remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stockport win
Latest market chance 65.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
66.5% → 65.4%
−1.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.7% → 19.2%
−0.5 pts
Barnsley win
Latest market chance 15.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
13.8% → 15.4%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stockport
Draw
Barnsley
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StockportBarnsley
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
18th
8
Games Played
7
1.63
Points/Game
1.14
2.12
Goals/Game
1.00
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.71
17.1
Shots/Game
16.5
4.9
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Stockport at home (7 matches) vs Barnsley away (6 matches)
2.14
Points/Game
0.67
2.29
Goals/Game
1.00
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.83
71%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stockport
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Barnsley
Away form
L
W
D
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stockport Wins
2
Draws
3
Barnsley Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Barnsley1 – 3Stockport
Stockport1 – 1Barnsley
Stockport2 – 1Barnsley
Barnsley1 – 1Stockport
Stockport2 – 2Barnsley
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stockportvs
Barnsley
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.1%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 59.3%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Stockport's 10 matches and 3 of Barnsley's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?