Stevenage vs Wigan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Broadhall Way
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.33
Away Win
3.69
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Stevenage
Wigan
28'
🟨 Finley Burns
53'
🟨 Charlie Gray
Wanya Marcal (Josh Magennis) ⚽
60'
69'
🟨 Reggie Walsh
90+4'
🟨 James Carragher
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
15
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
1
2
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Stevenage (3-4-1-2)
T. Setford
T. Vancooten
L. James-Wildin
C. Piergianni
Wanya Marçal
D. Phillips
M. Smith
S. Earley
D. Kemp
O. Sanderson
J. Magennis
Wigan (3-4-2-1)
J. Whitworth
J. Carragher
F. Burns
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
C. Barrett
Charlie Gray
M. Power
J. Mellish
J. Weir
B. Burrows
S. Hogan
Player Ratings ?
Stevenage
Wanya MarçalM8.2
C. PiergianniD7.1
J. MagennisF7.1
Wigan
J. WhitworthG7.6
F. BurnsD6.8
J. Chilokoa-MullenD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stevenage
Stevenage rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stevenage an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wigan have struggled on the road with no wins from their last five away fixtures, while Stevenage have secured two victories in their corresponding home outings during that same span. Stevenage have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only managed one clean sheet in that period. Stevenage rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Stevenage won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 2 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Wigan's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Stevenage's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points, while Wigan's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Stevenage.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Wigan points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Wigan
Wigan's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wigan win as less likely than it did 13 days ago. Stevenage remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 44.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
42.4% → 44.3%
+1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 29.1%
+0.4 pts
Wigan win
Latest market chance 26.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
28.9% → 26.6%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stevenage
Draw
Wigan
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StevenageWigan
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
24th
7
Games Played
7
1.29
Points/Game
0.57
1.57
Goals/Game
0.71
1.14
Conceded/Game
1.71
11.3
Shots/Game
12.5
3.9
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Stevenage at home (6 matches) vs Wigan away (8 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.12
1.50
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.88
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stevenage
Home form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wigan
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stevenage Wins
2
Draws
2
Wigan Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Stevenage1 – 0Wigan
Wigan0 – 0Stevenage
Stevenage1 – 2Wigan
Wigan0 – 0Stevenage
Wigan2 – 3Stevenage
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stevenagevs
Wigan
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.60
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
4/10
Failed to Score
8/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.9%→Latest 43.2%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 48.9%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Stevenage's 10 matches and 1 of Wigan's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?