Stevenage vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Broadhall Way
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.69
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.65
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Stevenage
Plymouth
4'
🟨 Ronan Curtis
Louis Thompson 🟨
7'
Michael Mellon (Josh Magennis) ⚽
19'
Josh Magennis ⚽
27'
Alex Revell 🟨
33'
Phoenix Patterson (Daniel Kemp) ⚽
83'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
17
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
1
5
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Stevenage (4-4-1-1)
T. Setford
L. James-Wildin
T. Vancooten
C. Piergianni
S. Earley
M. Mellon
L. Thompson
D. Phillips
B. Broggio
D. Kemp
J. Magennis
Plymouth (4-4-2)
M. Mahoney
J. Edwards
A. Mitchell
A. Hartridge
W. Harding
R. Curtis
T. Bakinson
H. White
O. Irow
W. Evans
A. Pepple
Player Ratings ?
Stevenage
J. MagennisF9.0
M. MellonM8.1
D. KempM7.7
Plymouth
X. AmaechiF7.1
A. PeppleF6.4
W. EvansF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stevenage edge defence, Plymouth edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Plymouth have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Stevenage's home record over the same span shows two victories alongside two defeats. Stevenage have scored in four of their last five home matches but have only managed a single clean sheet during that identical period. Plymouth rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Stevenage rate stronger on defence. Plymouth won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Stevenage's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
60%
Plymouth yellow cards after 75'
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 36.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.2% → 36.1%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.0% → 28.0%
±0.0 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.8% → 35.9%
+0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stevenage
Draw
Plymouth
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StevenagePlymouth
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
11
1.33
Points/Game
1.73
1.33
Goals/Game
1.64
1.11
Conceded/Game
1.27
11.3
Shots/Game
14.4
3.9
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Stevenage at home (6 matches) vs Plymouth away (7 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.86
1.50
Goals/Game
1.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.71
50%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stevenage
Home form
L
L
D
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Plymouth
Away form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stevenage Wins
0
Draws
1
Plymouth Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.0
Plymouth1 – 0Stevenage
Stevenage1 – 1Plymouth
Stevenage1 – 2Plymouth
Plymouth2 – 1Stevenage
Plymouth4 – 2Stevenage
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stevenagevs
Plymouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 55.8%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
1 of Stevenage's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?