Stevenage vs Mansfield Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Broadhall Way
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.56
Draw
2.84
Away Win
3.23
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stevenage edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stevenage slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stevenage slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mansfield arrive with an impressive unbeaten run from their last five away fixtures, securing two victories and three draws, while Stevenage boast a strong home record with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings. Stevenage have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also conceded goals in three of those same games, managing only two clean sheets during that identical recent period. Stevenage rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Stevenage's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Mansfield's implied win probability has fallen by 0.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Stevenage
No current absences reported
Mansfield
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 13 days ago. Stevenage remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 39.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
40.5% → 39.1%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.8% → 29.6%
+1.8 pts
Mansfield win
Latest market chance 31.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.8% → 31.3%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stevenage
Draw
Mansfield
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StevenageMansfield

Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
11th
12
Games Played
13
1.33
Points/Game
1.46
1.42
Goals/Game
1.54
1.08
Conceded/Game
1.38
11.3
Shots/Game
14.2
3.9
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Stevenage at home (6 matches) vs Mansfield away (8 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
1.12
1.50
Goals/Game
1.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.38
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Stevenage
Home form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Mansfield
Away form
D
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stevenage Wins
1
Draws
3
Mansfield Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Stevenage1 – 1Mansfield
Mansfield1 – 1Stevenage
Stevenage1 – 1Mansfield
Mansfield0 – 1Stevenage
Mansfield1 – 0Stevenage
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stevenagevs
Mansfield

Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded / game
0.80
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 47.1%−4.1 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 53.2%−2.8 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?