Sheffield Weds vs Plymouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Hillsborough Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.77
Away Win
2.94
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Sheffield Weds edge defence and head-to-head, Plymouth edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Plymouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Plymouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sheffield Weds stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Plymouth arrive with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, while Sheffield Weds have remained unbeaten at home in that same span with just one victory to show for their four draws. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five home matches yet have only managed two clean sheets during that identical period. Plymouth rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Sheffield Weds rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Sheffield Weds won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 8 March 2025, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Plymouth's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Sheffield Weds's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points, while Plymouth's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
47%
Plymouth yellow cards after 75'
12
Plymouth points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Sheffield Weds
No current absences reported
Plymouth
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sheffield Weds win as more likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sheffield Weds win
Latest market chance 42.2%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
41.4% → 42.2%
+0.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 25.8%
−0.2 pts
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.6% → 32.0%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sheffield Weds
Draw
Plymouth
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Sheffield WedsPlymouth

Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
5th
13
Games Played
14
1.54
Points/Game
1.64
1.69
Goals/Game
1.50
1.08
Conceded/Game
1.36
15.3
Shots/Game
14.4
5.7
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away Context
Sheffield Weds at home (8 matches) vs Plymouth away (7 matches)
1.38
Points/Game
1.86
1.88
Goals/Game
1.86
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.71
25%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Sheffield Weds
Home form
D
D
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Plymouth
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sheffield Weds Wins
4
Draws
0
Plymouth Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Plymouth0 – 3Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds4 – 0Plymouth
Sheffield Weds1 – 0Plymouth
Plymouth3 – 0Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds1 – 0Plymouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sheffield Wedsvs
Plymouth

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 59.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 63.0%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?