Plymouth vs Reading Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Home Park
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.40
Draw
3.62
Away Win
2.86
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Plymouth
Reading
Will Evans 🟨
25'
90+1'
🟨 Jeriel Dorsett
90+1'
🟨 Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
90+4'
🟨 Andy Rinomhota
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
13
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
7
14
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Plymouth (3-4-3)
James Storer
Julio Pleguezuelo
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
J. Edwards
H. White
T. Bakinson
Jack Mackenzie
X. Amaechi
A. Pepple
W. Evans
Reading (4-2-3-1)
Joel Pereira
U. Godwin-Malife
J. Knight
P. O'Connor
J. Dorsett
L. Wing
A. Rinomhota
Kyreece Lisbie
J. Stokes
R. Williams
J. Reid
Player Ratings ?
Plymouth
W. HardingD6.9
M. RossD6.8
Jack MackenzieNone6.7
Reading
Joel PereiraG7.5
P. O'ConnorD7.4
J. MarriottF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Reading edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Reading slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Reading stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Reading have secured just one win from their last five away fixtures, while Plymouth boast three victories in their corresponding home sample. At home, Plymouth have found the net in three of their last five outings but have kept a clean sheet on only two occasions during that same period. Reading rate stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Plymouth's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points, while Reading's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Plymouth
Plymouth's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Plymouth win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Plymouth win
Latest market chance 40.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
42.6% → 40.3%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.1% → 26.0%
+0.9 pts
Reading win
Latest market chance 33.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
32.3% → 33.7%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Plymouth
Draw
Reading
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PlymouthReading
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
6th
13
Games Played
12
1.69
Points/Game
1.75
1.62
Goals/Game
2.08
1.46
Conceded/Game
1.08
14.4
Shots/Game
15.3
4.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Plymouth at home (7 matches) vs Reading away (8 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
0.75
1.14
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.25
43%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Plymouth
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Reading
Away form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Plymouth Wins
1
Draws
2
Reading Wins
2
Avg Goals
4.2
Reading2 – 2Plymouth
Plymouth1 – 4Reading
Reading2 – 1Plymouth
Plymouth4 – 1Reading
Plymouth2 – 2Reading
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Plymouthvs
Reading
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.7%→Latest 61.1%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 63.8%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?