Peterboro vs Oxford Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Weston Homes Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.76
Draw
3.31
Away Win
2.58
Match Prediction
Data favours
Oxford
Oxford rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Peterboro edge head-to-head, giving Oxford an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterboro slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oxford have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Peterboro remain winless with just two draws in their last five home matches. Peterboro have scored in only two of their last five home matches and managed just one clean sheet during that same period. Oxford rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Peterboro hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Oxford won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 13 April 2024, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Peterboro's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Peterboro's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points, while Oxford's implied win probability has fallen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Oxford.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Peterboro yellow cards after 75'
2
Peterboro points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Peterboro
No current absences reported
Oxford
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Oxford remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 36.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.7% → 36.5%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.4% → 26.8%
+1.4 pts
Oxford win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.9% → 36.7%
−1.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterboro
Draw
Oxford
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterboroOxford
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
3rd
13
Games Played
13
0.77
Points/Game
2.00
0.85
Goals/Game
1.69
1.77
Conceded/Game
0.85
14.5
Shots/Game
14.1
3.5
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Peterboro at home (6 matches) vs Oxford away (6 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.83
0.83
Goals/Game
1.83
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
17%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterboro
Home form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Oxford
Away form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterboro Wins
2
Draws
2
Oxford Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Oxford5 – 0Peterboro
Peterboro3 – 0Oxford
Peterboro0 – 0Oxford
Oxford1 – 2Peterboro
Oxford0 – 0Peterboro
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterborovs
Oxford
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 3 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 59.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?