Peterboro vs Luton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ABAX Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.41
Draw
4.12
Away Win
1.97
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Peterboro
Luton
3'
⚽ Jordan Clark (Kasey Palmer)
Harry Ashfield 🟨
9'
43'
🟨 Jamie Donley
46'
⚽ (OG) Liam Kelly
76'
🟨 Kasey Palmer
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
6
8
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Peterboro (4-2-3-1)
A. Bass
C. Johnston
Lucca Mendonça
T. O'Connor
Harley Mills
L. Kelly
Harry Ashfield
Bolu Shofowoke
Ethan Williams
Vernon Masara
H. Leonard
Luton (4-1-4-1)
J. Shea
I. Jones
M. Andersen
G. Johnston
J. Johnson
L. Walsh
J. Richards
J. Donley
J. Clark
K. Palmer
C. Marshall
Player Ratings ?
Peterboro
Lucca MendonçaD7.1
S. HughesD6.7
Declan FirthNone6.7
Luton
J. ClarkM7.8
J. SheaG7.8
M. AndersenD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Luton
Luton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Luton an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Luton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Luton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Luton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Luton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Luton have secured two victories from their last five away outings, whereas Peterboro have managed just a single win in that same span at home. Peterboro have found the net in three of their last five matches at home while keeping just one clean sheet during that identical period. Luton rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Luton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 3 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Peterboro's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Peterboro's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Luton's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Luton.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Luton
Luton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Luton win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
26.6% → 28.6%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.6%
+0.3 pts
Luton win
Latest market chance 47.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
50.1% → 47.8%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterboro
Draw
Luton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterboroLuton
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
8th
12
Games Played
12
0.83
Points/Game
1.67
0.92
Goals/Game
2.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.67
14.5
Shots/Game
14.6
3.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Peterboro at home (6 matches) vs Luton away (8 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.38
0.83
Goals/Game
2.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.88
17%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterboro
Home form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Luton
Away form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterboro Wins
0
Draws
1
Luton Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.8
Luton2 – 1Peterboro
Peterboro0 – 2Luton
Peterboro1 – 1Luton
Luton3 – 0Peterboro
Luton4 – 0Peterboro
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterborovs
Luton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 66.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 66.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?