Peterboro vs Burton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
ABAX Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.88
Draw
4.18
Away Win
3.68
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Peterboro
Burton
Owura Edwards (Harry Leonard) ⚽
2'
30'
⚽ Charlie Webster (Kgagelo Chauke)
Carl Johnston 🟨
77'
78'
🟨 Raphael Borges Rodrigues
Brandon·Singh Khela 🟨
79'
89'
⚽ Gbemi Arubi
Matthew Garbett ⚽
90+6'
R. Savage 🟨
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
20
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Goal
6
8
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Peterboro (4-2-3-1)
A. Bass
C. Johnston
Lucca Mendonça
Joshua Feeney
Harley Mills
L. Kelly
Harry Ashfield
Bolu Shofowoke
Ethan Williams
O. Edwards
H. Leonard
Burton (3-4-2-1)
C. Addai
T. Sibbick
F. Delap
C. Tilt
R. Borges Rodrigues
K. Chauke
G. Evans
Harvey Araujo
Caylon Vickers
C. Webster
M. Dennis
Player Ratings ?
Peterboro
H. LeonardF7.7
M. GarbettM7.5
O. EdwardsM7.5
Burton
G. ArubiF8.2
C. WebsterM7.9
C. AddaiG6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Peterboro edge head-to-head, Burton edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Burton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Burton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterboro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Burton have managed just two wins from their last five away outings, while Peterboro have secured a single victory in three of their five home fixtures across both seasons. Peterboro have scored in three of their last five home matches, yet they have only kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Burton rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Peterboro rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 51.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.8% → 51.2%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.5%
−0.4 pts
Burton win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.3%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterboro
Draw
Burton
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterboroBurton
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
10th
9
Games Played
10
0.89
Points/Game
1.20
0.78
Goals/Game
1.40
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.60
14.5
Shots/Game
11.3
3.5
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Peterboro at home (6 matches) vs Burton away (7 matches)
0.83
Points/Game
1.00
0.83
Goals/Game
0.86
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.57
17%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterboro
Home form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Burton
Away form
W
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterboro Wins
2
Draws
2
Burton Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Peterboro1 – 1Burton
Burton0 – 1Peterboro
Burton2 – 2Peterboro
Peterboro0 – 1Burton
Burton1 – 3Peterboro
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterborovs
Burton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 59.7%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 59.8%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Peterboro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?