Oxford vs Wigan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kassam Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.89
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Oxford
Wigan
26'
🟨 Jensen Weir
31'
🟨 Charlie Gray
Michał Helik ⚽
44'
Cameron Brannagan 🟨
68'
69'
⚽ Christian Saydee (Jon Mellish)
72'
🟥 Fraser Murray
75'
🟨 Gary Caldwell
Kai Andrews (Siriki Dembele) ⚽
76'
Siriki Dembele 🟨
79'
85'
🟨 Finley Burns
Mark Harris 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
24
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
20
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Oxford (4-2-3-1)
J. Cumming
B. Spencer
M. Helik
C. Brown
J. Currie
C. Brannagan
Kai Andrews
M. Missanga
T. Goodrham
S. Dembélé
M. Harris
Wigan (4-2-3-1)
J. Whitworth
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
F. Burns
M. Fox
Archie Harris
Charlie Gray
J. Weir
C. Barrett
B. Burrows
F. Murray
S. Hogan
Player Ratings ?
Oxford
M. HelikD8.0
S. DembéléM7.7
Kai AndrewsM7.6
Wigan
C. SaydeeF7.8
M. FoxD6.7
J. WhitworthG6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Oxford
Oxford rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; head-to-head is closely matched, giving Oxford an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Oxford stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wigan have struggled away from home with just a solitary draw in their last five outings, whereas Oxford look more stable at this venue having secured three draws alongside a single victory in the same span. The home side have found the net in four of their last five matches at this ground but have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that identical period. Oxford rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. Oxford won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 13 February 2024, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Wigan's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Oxford's implied win probability has fallen by 1.9 percentage points, while Wigan's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Oxford.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
1
Wigan points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Oxford
Oxford's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Oxford win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oxford win
Latest market chance 48.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
50.2% → 48.3%
−1.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.7%
+0.7 pts
Wigan win
Latest market chance 25.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.7% → 25.1%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oxford
Draw
Wigan
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OxfordWigan

Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
24th
8
Games Played
9
1.88
Points/Game
0.78
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.44
14.1
Shots/Game
12.5
5.0
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Oxford at home (9 matches) vs Wigan away (8 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
0.12
1.56
Goals/Game
0.50
0.44
Conceded/Game
1.88
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Oxford
Home form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Wigan
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oxford Wins
2
Draws
1
Wigan Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.6
Oxford4 – 2Wigan
Wigan2 – 0Oxford
Wigan1 – 1Oxford
Oxford2 – 3Wigan
Oxford2 – 1Wigan
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oxfordvs
Wigan

Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
0.40
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
0/10
Failed to Score
8/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 50.8%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 54.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?