Oxford vs Stockport Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kassam Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.37
Draw
3.91
Away Win
2.03
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Oxford
Stockport
Mark Harris (Siriki Dembele) ⚽
35'
Jack Currie 🟨
51'
85'
🟨 Ethan Pye
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
20
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
7
9
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
7
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Oxford (4-2-3-1)
J. Cumming
P. Kioso
M. Helik
C. Brown
J. Currie
C. Brannagan
L. Sibley
L. Lynch
T. Goodrham
S. Dembélé
M. Harris
Stockport (3-4-2-1)
Oliver Whatmuff
M. Jobe
E. O'Connell
E. Pye
R. Glover
L. Bate
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
H. Wood
B. Andrésson
K. Wootton
Player Ratings ?
Oxford
M. HarrisF8.0
S. DembéléM7.7
P. KiosoD7.6
Stockport
Oliver WhatmuffG7.8
E. O'ConnellD7.4
L. FioriniM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stockport edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stockport slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stockport slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stockport have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Oxford remain unbeaten at home with three draws and two victories in that same span. Oxford have found the net in four of their last five matches at this venue, though they have also kept two clean sheets within that recent home sample. Stockport rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2011. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Stockport unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oxford win
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.3% → 28.2%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 25.5%
+0.3 pts
Stockport win
Latest market chance 46.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.5% → 46.2%
−0.3 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OxfordStockport
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
2nd
10
Games Played
12
1.90
Points/Game
1.92
1.80
Goals/Game
2.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.1
Shots/Game
17.1
5.0
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Oxford at home (9 matches) vs Stockport away (8 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
1.38
1.56
Goals/Game
1.25
0.44
Conceded/Game
0.75
67%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oxford
Home form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stockport
Away form
W
D
L
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oxford Wins
1
Draws
1
Stockport Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Oxford1 – 0Stockport
Stockport2 – 1Oxford
Oxford0 – 1Stockport
Stockport2 – 1Oxford
Oxford1 – 1Stockport
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oxfordvs
Stockport
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.4%→Latest 59.7%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?