Notts County vs Stockport Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadow Lane
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.68
Draw
4.07
Away Win
1.59
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Notts County
Stockport
Scott Robertson (Conor·Grant) ⚽
11'
Nicholas Tsaroulla 🟨
15'
56'
🟨 Ben Osborn
Luka Smyth 🟨
71'
72'
🟨 oliver whatmuff
Lucas Ness 🟨
80'
81'
⚽ Adama Sidibeh (Benoný Breki Andrésson)
Rod McDonald 🟨
82'
Match Statistics ?
26%
Ball Possession
74%
7
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
8
16
Fouls
6
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Notts County (3-4-3)
J. Gibbons
L. Ness
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
R. Finneran
S. Robertson
I. Samuels-Smith
L. Smyth
D. Kanu
C. Grant
Stockport (3-4-3)
Oliver Whatmuff
M. Jobe
E. O'Connell
E. Pye
R. Glover
L. Bate
O. Norwood
B. Osborn
J. Diamond
K. Wootton
H. Wood
Player Ratings ?
Notts County
S. RobertsonM8.1
D. LipsiucM6.9
C. GrantF6.8
Stockport
Adama SidibehF8.2
O. NorwoodM7.2
B. AndréssonF7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stockport
Stockport rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stockport an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stockport stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stockport arrive with an encouraging record of three wins and a single draw from their last five away outings, while Notts County have secured two victories in that same span at home before suffering two defeats. Notts County have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Stockport rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Stockport won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 16 April 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Notts County's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison favours Stockport.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Notts County win
Latest market chance 17.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.7% → 17.2%
−0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.7% → 24.0%
+0.3 pts
Stockport win
Latest market chance 58.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.6% → 58.8%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Notts County
Draw
Stockport
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Notts CountyStockport
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
1st
10
Games Played
11
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
2.09
1.30
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.8
Shots/Game
17.1
3.2
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Notts County at home (6 matches) vs Stockport away (8 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.38
1.17
Goals/Game
1.25
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
33%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Notts County
Home form
D
W
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stockport
Away form
L
W
D
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Notts County Wins
1
Draws
1
Stockport Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Notts County2 – 5Stockport
Stockport2 – 1Notts County
Stockport3 – 0Notts County
Notts County2 – 1Stockport
Stockport0 – 0Notts County
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Notts Countyvs
Stockport
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.6%→Latest 51.7%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?