Mansfield vs Notts County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Field Mill
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.75
Away Win
4.02
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Mansfield
Notts County
29'
⚽ Callum Roberts (Rory Finneran)
55'
🟨 Rory Finneran
Jordan Bowery 🟨
56'
65'
⚽ D. Kanu
71'
🟨 Luka Smyth
82'
🟨 Callum Roberts
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
9
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
18
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Mansfield (3-1-4-2)
L. Roberts
J. Bowery
A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney
L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh
J. Russell
R. Hendry
S. McLaughlin
M. Smith
T. Roberts
Notts County (3-4-1-2)
J. Gibbons
L. Ness
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
R. Finneran
S. Robertson
I. Samuels-Smith
C. Grant
L. Smyth
D. Kanu
Player Ratings ?
Mansfield
J. BoweryD6.9
R. SweeneyD6.8
T. RobertsF6.6
Notts County
C. RobertsF8.2
D. KanuF7.8
I. Samuels-SmithM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mansfield
Mansfield rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Mansfield a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mansfield slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mansfield arrive at home with an encouraging recent record of three wins and no defeats from their last five outings, while Notts County have drawn three of their last five away matches without a single win. The home side have scored in four of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet from that same recent sample. Mansfield rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Mansfield won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 3 February 2024, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Notts County's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Mansfield's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Notts County's implied win probability has risen by 1.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Mansfield a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Notts County losing run
3
Notts County points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Mansfield
Mansfield's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Mansfield win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mansfield win
Latest market chance 50.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
52.9% → 50.9%
−2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.2% → 25.3%
+0.1 pts
Notts County win
Latest market chance 23.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
21.9% → 23.8%
+1.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mansfield
Draw
Notts County
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MansfieldNotts County
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
19th
11
Games Played
11
1.64
Points/Game
1.00
1.82
Goals/Game
1.00
1.45
Conceded/Game
1.27
14.2
Shots/Game
11.8
4.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Mansfield at home (6 matches) vs Notts County away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.00
1.17
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mansfield
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Notts County
Away form
D
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mansfield Wins
3
Draws
1
Notts County Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Mansfield1 – 0Notts County
Notts County1 – 4Mansfield
Notts County1 – 0Mansfield
Mansfield2 – 0Notts County
Notts County1 – 1Mansfield
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mansfieldvs
Notts County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.8%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?