Mansfield vs Bromley Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Field Mill
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.84
Draw
3.87
Away Win
4.08
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Mansfield
Bromley
13'
🟨 Markus Ifill
Stephen McLaughlin (Jonathan Russell) ⚽
22'
30'
⚽ John Joshua Mckiernan (Mitchell Pinnock)
32'
🟨 John Joshua Mckiernan
Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh (Michael Smith) ⚽
49'
Liam Thompson 🟨
51'
Louis Reed 🟨
60'
Frazer Blake-Tracy 🟨
74'
90+3'
🟨 Nicke Kabamba
90+4'
🟨 George Saville
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
21
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Corner Kicks
1
14
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Mansfield (3-1-4-2)
L. Roberts
E. Hewitt
A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney
L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh
J. Russell
L. Thompson
S. McLaughlin
R. Oates
M. Smith
Bromley (4-1-4-1)
O. Mason
Marcus Lemar Ifill
O. Sowunmi
Kamari Antonio Grant
J. Mendy
G. Saville
C. Whitely
K. Conteh
J. McKiernan
M. Pinnock
V. Adeboyejo
Player Ratings ?
Mansfield
J. RussellM7.7
M. SmithF7.6
S. McLaughlinM7.4
Bromley
J. McKiernanM7.6
M. PinnockM7.3
O. SowunmiD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mansfield
Mansfield rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form, attack and defence, giving Mansfield a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 3 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mansfield stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Mansfield arrive at home with a solid record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Bromley have found just one win and a draw in their most recent three away matches. At home, Mansfield have scored in four of their last five fixtures but have only managed one clean sheet during that same span. Mansfield rate stronger on form, attack and defence. Over the 13-day comparison window, Mansfield's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Bromley's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Mansfield a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Bromley losing run
50%
Mansfield yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Mansfield
Mansfield's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Mansfield win as more likely than it did 13 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mansfield win
Latest market chance 52.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
51.5% → 52.9%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.6% → 24.8%
−0.8 pts
Bromley win
Latest market chance 22.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 22.3%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mansfield
Draw
Bromley
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MansfieldBromley
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
19th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.14
1.43
Goals/Game
1.14
1.86
Conceded/Game
2.57
14.2
Shots/Game
9.1
4.2
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Mansfield at home (6 matches) vs Bromley away (8 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.50
1.67
Goals/Game
1.25
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.88
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mansfield
Home form
D
W
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bromley
Away form
W
L
D
L
Lost 2 of last 4 away
Limited history — only 4 away fixtures on record for Bromley.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.25
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/4
Scored in
last 4
last 4
1/4
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Mansfield and Bromley.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mansfieldvs
Bromley
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.12
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.75
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/8
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/8
5/10
Failed to Score
2/8
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 56.0%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 57.1%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Bromley have only 8 completed fixtures on record.
2 of Mansfield's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?