Leicester vs Wigan Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
King Power Stadium
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.40
Draw
5.15
Away Win
7.11
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Leicester
Wigan
4'
🟨 Reggie Walsh
Will Smallbone 🟨
6'
9'
🟨 Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen
Emil Riis Jakobsen ⚽
17'
28'
🟨 K'Marni Miller
Caleb Okoli 🟨
40'
Luke Thomas 🟨
45+1'
Warren O'Hora 🟨
48'
61'
🟨 Finley Burns
Emil Riis Jakobsen (Luke Thomas) ⚽
67'
Bobby Reid ⚽ (P)
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
3
20
Fouls
11
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Leicester (3-4-2-1)
A. McCarthy
W. O'Hora
H. Souttar
C. Okoli
W. Alves
W. Smallbone
L. Page
L. Thomas
C. Chaplin
K. Doyle
E. Riis
Wigan (5-3-2)
J. Whitworth
C. Barrett
J. Chilokoa-Mullen
J. Carragher
F. Burns
K'Marni Miller
J. Weir
R. Walsh
B. Burrows
D. Costelloe
S. Hogan
Player Ratings ?
Leicester
E. RiisF9.3
B. De Cordova-ReidF7.8
W. AlvesM7.2
Wigan
D. CostelloeF6.5
C. BarrettD6.4
A. HigginsF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Leicester
Leicester rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Leicester a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Leicester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Leicester have secured two victories from their last five home outings, whereas Wigan have recorded no wins in their corresponding away sample of five matches. At home, Leicester have found the net in four of their last five matches while also keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that same span. Leicester rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while Wigan hold a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2014. The overall statistical comparison gives Leicester a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Wigan losing run
1
Wigan points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Leicester
Leicester's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leicester win as more likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 66.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
64.4% → 66.8%
+2.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.3% → 19.4%
−0.9 pts
Wigan win
Latest market chance 13.8%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
15.3% → 13.8%
−1.5 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterWigan
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
24th
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
0.64
1.55
Goals/Game
0.73
1.55
Conceded/Game
1.55
15.5
Shots/Game
12.5
5.5
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (8 matches) vs Wigan away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.12
1.75
Goals/Game
0.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.88
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wigan
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
2
Draws
2
Wigan Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.2
Leicester3 – 0Wigan
Wigan2 – 2Leicester
Leicester2 – 0Wigan
Leicester0 – 2Wigan
Wigan0 – 0Leicester
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Wigan
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 55.5%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?