Leicester vs Stevenage Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
King Power Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
4.33
Away Win
4.86
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Leicester
Stevenage
Samuel Charles Braybrooke (William Thomas-Alves) ⚽
2'
22'
⚽ Ben Broggio (Josh Magennis)
30'
🟨 Saxon Earley
K. Doyle ⚽
66'
78'
⚽ Tugra Turhan
85'
🟨 Alex Revell
Match Statistics ?
66%
Ball Possession
34%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Goal
4
11
Corner Kicks
2
14
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Leicester (4-1-4-1)
A. McCarthy
W. O'Hora
H. Souttar
C. Okoli
L. Thomas
J. Lundstram
W. Alves
S. Braybrooke
L. Page
K. Doyle
E. Riis
Stevenage (4-4-1-1)
T. Setford
T. Vancooten
K. Casey
C. Piergianni
S. Earley
O. Sanderson
L. Thompson
D. Phillips
P. Patterson
B. Broggio
J. Magennis
Player Ratings ?
Leicester
S. BraybrookeM8.1
K. DoyleM7.2
L. ThomasD7.2
Stevenage
T. TurhanF8.1
B. BroggioM7.3
J. MagennisF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Leicester edge recent form and attack, Stevenage edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stevenage stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Leicester have secured three victories in their last five home outings, whereas Stevenage have managed just a solitary win across their corresponding away fixtures over the same span. The Foxes have found the net in four of their last five matches at the club's ground while also keeping a clean sheet on two occasions within that identical recent sample. Leicester rate stronger on form and attack, while Stevenage rate stronger on defence. Over the 5-day comparison window, Leicester's implied win probability has risen by 4.2 percentage points, while Stevenage's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Leicester
Leicester's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leicester win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 56.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
52.7% → 56.9%
+4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.1% → 23.1%
−2.0 pts
Stevenage win
Latest market chance 20.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
22.2% → 20.0%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Stevenage
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterStevenage
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
13th
12
Games Played
11
1.50
Points/Game
1.36
1.67
Goals/Game
1.36
1.42
Conceded/Game
1.00
15.5
Shots/Game
11.3
5.5
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (8 matches) vs Stevenage away (6 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
1.33
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
50%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
L
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stevenage
Away form
D
D
W
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Leicester and Stevenage.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Stevenage
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.5%→Latest 57.1%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 56.5%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?