Leicester vs Peterboro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
King Power Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.54
Draw
4.91
Away Win
5.07
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Leicester
Peterboro
12'
⚽ Owura Edwards (Harley Mills)
36'
⚽ Harry Leonard (Bolu Shofowoke)
44'
⚽ (OG) Warren O'Hora
Emil Riis Jakobsen (Wes Burns) ⚽
68'
85'
🟨 Matthew Garbett
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
20
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Corner Kicks
8
11
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Leicester (4-2-3-1)
A. McCarthy
O. Aluko
C. Okoli
W. O'Hora
L. Thomas
J. Lundstram
L. Page
L. Cullen
B. De Cordova-Reid
W. Alves
E. Riis
Peterboro (4-2-3-1)
A. Bass
C. Johnston
Lucca Mendonça
Joshua Feeney
Harley Mills
L. Kelly
Harry Ashfield
Bolu Shofowoke
Ethan Williams
O. Edwards
H. Leonard
Player Ratings ?
Leicester
E. RiisF7.8
L. PageM6.9
W. AlvesM6.3
Peterboro
H. LeonardF8.2
O. EdwardsM7.5
Bolu ShofowokeM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Leicester
Leicester rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Peterboro edge head-to-head, giving Leicester a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leicester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterboro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Peterboro arrive with an away record of zero wins and just one draw from their last five outings, while Leicester have secured two victories and one draw in that same home sample. Leicester have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have also kept two clean sheets during that period. Leicester rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Peterboro rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2013. Over the 13-day comparison window, Leicester's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Peterboro's implied win probability has fallen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Leicester a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
46%
Peterboro yellow cards after 75'
1
Peterboro points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Leicester
Leicester's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Leicester win as more likely than it did 13 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 60.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.3% → 60.4%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.1% → 20.7%
−1.4 pts
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 18.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.6% → 18.9%
−0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Peterboro
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterPeterboro
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
23rd
7
Games Played
8
1.29
Points/Game
0.63
1.29
Goals/Game
0.50
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.62
15.5
Shots/Game
14.5
5.5
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (8 matches) vs Peterboro away (7 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
0.71
1.75
Goals/Game
0.86
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
D
L
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Peterboro
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
2
Draws
1
Peterboro Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Peterboro2 – 1Leicester
Leicester2 – 0Peterboro
Peterboro1 – 0Leicester
Leicester1 – 1Peterboro
Peterboro1 – 2Leicester
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Peterboro
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.9%→Latest 68.2%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 64.3%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Leicester's 10 matches and 2 of Peterboro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?